Leeds United 1-1 Manchester United: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How the match unfolded

The opening goal came in the 35th minute: Bryan Mbeumo for Manchester United, set up by Youri Tielemans. Leeds United levelled at 1-1 in the 51st minute through Dominic Calvert-Lewin, set up by Tarik Muharemović.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, D. England, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Leeds United and 2 to Manchester United.

Leeds United: D. Farke, 3-4-2-1 · Manchester United: M. Carrick, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.75, and on 1-1 it was right.

The estimate's most likely result was a Manchester United win at 40%; a draw, at 27%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%), exactly the final score.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.8 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 52%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 57%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Manchester United win at 40%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.86 for Leeds United and 1.31 for Manchester United.

Leeds United had 5 shots on target, Manchester United 3.

Leeds United had 61% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Leeds United came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.35 expected goals for and 1.26 against, and had won 30% of their matches.

Manchester United came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.76 expected goals for and 1.49 against, and had won 10% of their matches.

Leeds United vs Manchester United: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Diogo Dalot (Manchester United), rated 7.4 by Sportmonks.

Leeds United

• Anton Stach 7.3
• Tarik Muharemović 7.3 1 assist
• Dominic Calvert-Lewin 7.3 1 goal
• James Justin 7.2
• Nico Elvedi 7.1

Manchester United

• Diogo Dalot 7.4
• Youri Tielemans 7.4 1 assist
• Noussair Mazraoui 7.2
• Harry Maguire 7.1
• Amad Diallo 7.0

The lowest-rated starter was Lisandro Martínez at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Leeds United: Chelsea vs Leeds United Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
• Manchester United: Liverpool vs Manchester United Sunday 22 November 2026 · Premier League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Leeds United vs Manchester United

What was the score in Leeds United vs Manchester United?

Leeds United 1-1 Manchester United (half-time 0-1), Premier League, Sunday 18 October 2026.

Who scored in Leeds United vs Manchester United?

Bryan Mbeumo 35', Dominic Calvert-Lewin 51'.

Did Moneyball predict Leeds United vs Manchester United correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.75, and on 1-1 it was right.

Who was man of the match in Leeds United vs Manchester United?

Diogo Dalot, rated 7.4 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Leeds United vs Manchester United?

D. England.