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Lech Poznań 1-1 Sunderland: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Lech Poznań 1-1 Sunderland

Lech Poznań and Sunderland drew 1-1 in Europa League Matchday 3 on Thursday 22 October 2026 at Enea stadion. The goals: Timur Tuterov 2', Leo Bengtsson 70'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How the match unfolded

Sunderland struck first through Timur Tuterov in the 2nd minute, set up by Nilson Angulo. Lech Poznań levelled at 1-1 in the 70th minute through Leo Bengtsson.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, B. Berke, showed 1 yellow card: 0 to Lech Poznań and 1 to Sunderland.

Lech Poznań: N. Frederiksen, 4-2-3-1 · Sunderland: R. Le Bris, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Sunderland -0.75, and on 1-1 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Sunderland win at 54%; a draw, at 25%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%), exactly the final score.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.8 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 52%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 54%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Sunderland win at 56%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-22, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Lech Poznań had 6 shots on target, Sunderland 11.

Lech Poznań's goalkeeper made 11 saves.

Sunderland had 57% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Lech Poznań came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 0.5 and conceding 3.0 a match, with 1.03 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Sunderland came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 2.25 expected goals for and – against, and had won 50% of their matches.

Lech Poznań vs Sunderland: the match in numbers

Lech PoznańMatch statisticsSunderland
43%Ball possession57%
16Total shots25
6Shots on target11
5Big chances2
395Total passes505
79%Pass accuracy88%
3Corners6
7Fouls13
1Offsides1
9Tackles11
11Saves5
0Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Mateusz Lis (Lech Poznań), rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.

Lech Poznań

Sunderland

The lowest-rated starter was Daniel Håkans at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Lech Poznań vs Sunderland

What was the score in Lech Poznań vs Sunderland?

Lech Poznań 1-1 Sunderland (half-time 0-1), Europa League, Thursday 22 October 2026.

Who scored in Lech Poznań vs Sunderland?

Timur Tuterov 2', Leo Bengtsson 70'.

Did Moneyball predict Lech Poznań vs Sunderland correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Sunderland -0.75, and on 1-1 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Lech Poznań vs Sunderland?

Mateusz Lis, rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Lech Poznań vs Sunderland?

B. Berke.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.