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Krasnodar 4-2 CSKA Moskva: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Krasnodar 4-2 CSKA Moskva

Krasnodar 4-2 CSKA Moskva: Krasnodar took the points in Russian Premier League Matchday 14 on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Stadion FK Krasnodar. The goals: Jhon Córdoba 16', Matvey Kislyak 35', João Batxi 40', Daniil Utkin 74', Jhon Córdoba 82', Kirill Glebov 90+1'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Krasnodar won it

Krasnodar struck first through Jhon Córdoba in the 16th minute, set up by Christian. CSKA Moskva levelled at 1-1 in the 35th minute through Matvey Kislyak. João Batxi made it 2-1 to Krasnodar in the 40th minute. Daniil Utkin made it 3-1 to Krasnodar in the 74th minute. Jhon Córdoba made it 4-1 to Krasnodar in the 82nd minute, set up by Christian. Kirill Glebov made it 4-2 to CSKA Moskva in the 90th minute (+1), set up by Tamerlan Musaev.

It was 2-1 at half-time.

Jhon Córdoba scored twice.

The referee, S. Karasev, showed 2 yellow cards: 2 to Krasnodar and 0 to CSKA Moskva.

Krasnodar: M. Musaev, 4-2-3-1 · CSKA Moskva: D. Igdisamov, 5-3-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A correct call on the result: 38% for a Krasnodar win before the match. The scoreline, 4-2, was not the estimate's first choice (2-1).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.8 goals and there were 6.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 52%; with 6 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 57%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.41 for Krasnodar and 2.44 for CSKA Moskva.

Krasnodar scored about 1.6 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Krasnodar had 9 shots on target, CSKA Moskva 5.

CSKA Moskva's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

CSKA Moskva had 56% of the ball, but Krasnodar took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Krasnodar came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.42 expected goals for and 1.25 against, and had won 50% of their matches.

CSKA Moskva came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.76 expected goals for and 1.54 against, and had won 50% of their matches.

Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskva: the match in numbers

KrasnodarMatch statisticsCSKA Moskva
44%Ball possession56%
2.41Expected goals (xG)2.44
19Total shots26
9Shots on target5
7Big chances3
314Total passes397
75%Pass accuracy78%
2Corners7
23Fouls7
2Offsides1
21Tackles19
3Saves5
2Yellow cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Jhon Córdoba (Krasnodar), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Krasnodar

CSKA Moskva

The lowest-rated starter was João Victor at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskva

What was the score in Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskva?

Krasnodar 4-2 CSKA Moskva (half-time 2-1), Russian Premier League, Saturday 7 November 2026.

Who scored in Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskva?

Jhon Córdoba 16', Matvey Kislyak 35', João Batxi 40', Daniil Utkin 74', Jhon Córdoba 82', Kirill Glebov 90+1'.

Did Moneyball predict Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskva correctly?

A correct call on the result: 38% for a Krasnodar win before the match. The scoreline, 4-2, was not the estimate's first choice (2-1).

Who was man of the match in Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskva?

Jhon Córdoba, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskva?

S. Karasev.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.