Kauno Žalgiris 1-4 Brann: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa Conference League Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October 2026 · S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas, S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas · referee P. Ilić · full time
Full time: Kauno Žalgiris 1-4 Brann
Kauno Žalgiris 1-4 Brann: Brann took the points in Europa Conference League Matchday 2 on Thursday 22 October 2026 at S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas. The goals: Niklas Castro 7', Renan Oliveira 12', Noah Holm 25', Noah Holm 40', Noah Holm 85'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Brann won it
Niklas Castro put Brann ahead in the 7th minute from the penalty spot. Kauno Žalgiris levelled at 1-1 in the 12th minute through Renan Oliveira. Noah Holm made it 1-2 to Brann in the 25th minute, set up by Joachim Soltvedt. Noah Holm made it 1-3 to Brann in the 40th minute, set up by Eggert Aron Guðmundsson. Noah Holm made it 1-4 to Brann in the 85th minute, set up by Kristian Eriksen.
It was 1-3 at half-time.
Noah Holm scored a hat-trick.
The referee, P. Ilić, showed 6 yellow cards: 5 to Kauno Žalgiris and 1 to Brann.
Kauno Žalgiris: Ž. Sopić, 4-1-4-1 · Brann: E. Horneland, 4-3-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A Brann win was the estimate's call at 39%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-1 was the likeliest, 1-4 the real one.
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.7 goals and there were 5.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 51%; with 5 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 56%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-22, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Kauno Žalgiris had 2 shots on target, Brann 8.
Brann had 67% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Kauno Žalgiris came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 0.3 and conceding 3.7 a match, with 0.87 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.
Brann came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 0.89 expected goals for and – against, and had won 67% of their matches.
Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann: the match in numbers
| Kauno Žalgiris | Match statistics | Brann |
|---|---|---|
| 33% | Ball possession | 67% |
| 12 | Total shots | 21 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 4 | Big chances | 4 |
| 334 | Total passes | 703 |
| 77% | Pass accuracy | 88% |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 13 | Tackles | 16 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Noah Holm (Brann), rated 9.2 by Sportmonks, with 3 goals.
Kauno Žalgiris
- Renan Oliveira 7.4 1 goal
- Leon Krekovic 6.8
- Joris Moutachy 6.6
- Tomas Švedkauskas 6.5
- Gabriel Debeljuh 6.5
Brann
- Noah Holm 9.2 3 goals
- Niklas Castro 8.3 1 goal
- Eggert Aron Guðmundsson 7.7 1 assist
- Jonas Torsvik 7.2
- Joachim Soltvedt 7.1 1 assist
The lowest-rated starter was Rokas Lekiatas at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Kauno Žalgiris: Kauno Žalgiris vs Riga Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
- Brann: Brann vs AGF Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann
What was the score in Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?
Kauno Žalgiris 1-4 Brann (half-time 1-3), Europa Conference League, Thursday 22 October 2026.
Who scored in Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?
Niklas Castro 7', Renan Oliveira 12', Noah Holm 25', Noah Holm 40', Noah Holm 85'.
Did Moneyball predict Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann correctly?
A Brann win was the estimate's call at 39%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-1 was the likeliest, 1-4 the real one.
Who was man of the match in Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?
Noah Holm, rated 9.2 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?
P. Ilić.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.