Inter 3-0 Parma: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Inter won it

Inter struck first through Petar Sučić in the 13th minute. Hakan Çalhanoğlu from the penalty spot made it 2-0 to Inter in the 18th minute. Marcus Thuram made it 3-0 to Inter in the 31st minute, set up by Henrikh Mkhitaryan.

It was 3-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

Inter: C. Chivu, 3-5-2 · Parma: A. Gilardino, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

An Inter win was the estimate's call at 70%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 2-0 was the likeliest, 3-0 the real one.

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.5 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 67%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 58%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an Inter win at 80%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.48 for Inter and 2.73 for Parma.

Inter scored about 2.5 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Parma left about 2.7 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Parma created the better chances, 2.73 xG to 0.48, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Inter to create more, and Parma did.

Inter had 6 shots on target, Parma 2.

Inter had 59% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Inter came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 2.62 expected goals for and 0.92 against, and had won 82% of their matches.

Parma came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 0.94 expected goals for and 1.94 against, and had won 18% of their matches.

Inter vs Parma: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Hakan Çalhanoğlu (Inter), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Inter

• Hakan Çalhanoğlu 7.9 1 goal
• Henrikh Mkhitaryan 7.8 1 assist
• Pio Esposito 7.5
• Petar Sučić 7.4 1 goal
• Benjamin Pavard 7.3

Parma

• Emanuele Valeri 6.9
• Mandela Keita 6.7
• Simone Lontani 6.7
• Edoardo Corvi 6.6
• Mariano Troilo 6.6

The lowest-rated starter was Nesta Elphege at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Inter: Atalanta vs Inter Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A
• Parma: Parma vs Roma Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Inter vs Parma

What was the score in Inter vs Parma?

Inter 3-0 Parma (half-time 3-0), Serie A, Saturday 10 October 2026.

Who scored in Inter vs Parma?

Petar Sučić 13', Hakan Çalhanoğlu 18', Marcus Thuram 31'.

Did Moneyball predict Inter vs Parma correctly?

An Inter win was the estimate's call at 70%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 2-0 was the likeliest, 3-0 the real one.

Who was man of the match in Inter vs Parma?

Hakan Çalhanoğlu, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Inter vs Parma?

K. Bonacina.