Inter 2-1 Fiorentina: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Inter won it

Fiorentina struck first through Alejandro Jiménez Sánchez in the 65th minute, set up by Nicolò Fagioli. Inter levelled at 1-1 in the 90th minute (+1) through Marcus Thuram, set up by Andy Diouf. Inter turned it round: Piotr Zielinski from the penalty spot made it 2-1 in the 90th minute (+7). There was no time to answer it.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, M. Mariani, showed 3 yellow cards: 0 to Inter and 3 to Fiorentina.

Inter: C. Chivu, 3-5-2 · Fiorentina: P. Vanoli, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Inter Milan Win, was right: 2-1 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was an Inter win at 68%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-1 (9%), exactly the final score.

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.6 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 68%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 61%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an Inter win at 68%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-25, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.36 for Inter and 3.65 for Fiorentina.

Inter scored about 1.6 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Fiorentina left about 2.7 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Fiorentina created the better chances, 3.65 xG to 0.36, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Inter to create more, and Fiorentina did.

Inter had 11 shots on target, Fiorentina 2.

Fiorentina's goalkeeper made 9 saves.

Inter had 63% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Inter came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 2.62 expected goals for and 0.92 against, and had won 82% of their matches.

Fiorentina came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.72 expected goals for and 1.63 against, and had won 18% of their matches.

Inter vs Fiorentina: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Marcus Thuram (Inter), rated 8.6 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Inter

• Marcus Thuram 8.6 1 goal
• Carlos Augusto 8.0
• Andy Diouf 7.8 1 assist
• Nicolò Barella 7.7
• Hakan Çalhanoğlu 7.5

Fiorentina

• David de Gea 8.2
• Alejandro Jiménez Sánchez 7.3 1 goal
• Nicolò Fagioli 7.0 1 assist
• Franco Mastantuono 7.0
• Radu Drăgușin 6.9

The lowest-rated starter was Víctor Valdepeñas at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Inter: Atalanta vs Inter Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A
• Fiorentina: Monza vs Fiorentina Monday 23 November 2026 · Serie A

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Inter vs Fiorentina

What was the score in Inter vs Fiorentina?

Inter 2-1 Fiorentina (half-time 0-0), Serie A, Sunday 25 October 2026.

Who scored in Inter vs Fiorentina?

Alejandro Jiménez Sánchez 65', Marcus Thuram 90+1', Piotr Zielinski 90+7'.

Did Moneyball predict Inter vs Fiorentina correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Inter Milan Win, was right: 2-1 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Inter vs Fiorentina?

Marcus Thuram, rated 8.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Inter vs Fiorentina?

M. Mariani.