Inter Club d'Escaldes vs FC København Prediction and Stats | Europa Conference League Gameweek 4
Europa Conference League · Thursday 26 November 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Camp de Futbol d'Aixovall, Sant Julià de Lòria · updated 2026-11-13
Inter Club d'Escaldes welcome FC København to Camp de Futbol d'Aixovall in Sant Julià de Lòria in Europa Conference League Gameweek 4 action on Thursday 26 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Inter Club d'Escaldes have played 3 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 0% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 50% win rate. FC København have played 3 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 67% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 17% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, FC København are narrow favourites at 45%, with the draw at 27% and Inter Club d'Escaldes at 29%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Inter Club d'Escaldes 1.19, FC København 1.54.
- Over 2.5 goals: 52% · both teams to score: 56%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (3 and 3 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Inter Club d'Escaldes: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.30 a match created (goals minus xG: +7.9).
- Shots: 13.3 a match, 4.1 on target.
- Possession: 49.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 43% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 43% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.9 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.52.
FC København: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.92 a match created (goals minus xG: +6.7).
- Shots: 12.8 a match, 5.9 on target.
- Possession: 45.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (67% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.90.
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs FC København: season averages side by side
| Inter Club d'Escaldes | Per match this season | FC København |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Matches | 3 |
| 0.7 | Goals scored | 2.3 |
| 2.3 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 0.30 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.92 |
| 13.3 | Shots | 12.8 |
| 4.1 | On target | 5.9 |
| 49.7 | Possession % | 45.6 |
| 43% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 43% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 4.0 | Corners | 5.0 |
| 2.9 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
| 6.52 | Average rating | 6.90 |
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs FC København prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.19 for Inter Club d'Escaldes and 1.54 for FC København - with over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 56%. FC København have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Inter Club d'Escaldes 1-2 FC København
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs FC København: what the numbers say
- 1. FC København unbeaten (win or draw) 71% between them
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.74 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (52%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 56% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.3 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 9.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Inter Club d'Escaldes vs FC København: questions and answers
When is Inter Club d'Escaldes vs FC København?
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs FC København is on Thursday 26 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in Europa Conference League Gameweek 4.
Where is Inter Club d'Escaldes vs FC København played?
At Camp de Futbol d'Aixovall, Sant Julià de Lòria, Inter Club d'Escaldes's home ground.
Who will win Inter Club d'Escaldes vs FC København?
FC København are the favourites: Inter Club d'Escaldes 29%, draw 27%, FC København 45%. Our prediction is Inter Club d'Escaldes 1-2 FC København.
How many goals will there be in Inter Club d'Escaldes vs FC København?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.