Hull City 1-1 Brentford: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How the match unfolded

Oli McBurnie put Hull City ahead in the 24th minute from the penalty spot. Brentford levelled at 1-1 in the 63rd minute through Dango Ouattara, set up by Igor Thiago.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, R. Jones, showed 1 yellow card: 0 to Hull City and 1 to Brentford.

Hull City: S. Jakirović, 5-4-1 · Brentford: K. Andrews, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.25, and on 1-1 it was right.

The estimate's most likely result was a Brentford win at 50%; a draw, at 24%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%), exactly the final score.

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.0 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 57%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 59%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Brentford win at 53%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-25, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.75 for Hull City and 1.86 for Brentford.

Hull City had 2 shots on target, Brentford 6.

Hull City's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Brentford had 58% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Hull City came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 0.96 expected goals for and 1.51 against, and had won 20% of their matches.

Brentford came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.58 expected goals for and 1.62 against, and had won 30% of their matches.

Hull City vs Brentford: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Mohamed Belloumi (Hull City), rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.

Hull City

• Mohamed Belloumi 7.5
• Konstantinos Tzolakis 7.3
• Tim Iroegbunam 7.3
• Oli McBurnie 7.2 1 goal
• Semi Ajayi 7.1

Brentford

• Dango Ouattara 7.3 1 goal
• Mamadou Sangaré 7.3
• Michael Kayode 7.1
• Igor Thiago 7.1 1 assist
• Mikkel Damsgaard 6.9

The lowest-rated starter was Ryan Giles at 5.7. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Hull City: Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion Sunday 22 November 2026 · Premier League
• Brentford: Brentford vs Everton Monday 23 November 2026 · Premier League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Hull City vs Brentford

What was the score in Hull City vs Brentford?

Hull City 1-1 Brentford (half-time 1-0), Premier League, Sunday 25 October 2026.

Who scored in Hull City vs Brentford?

Oli McBurnie 24', Dango Ouattara 63'.

Did Moneyball predict Hull City vs Brentford correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.25, and on 1-1 it was right.

Who was man of the match in Hull City vs Brentford?

Mohamed Belloumi, rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Hull City vs Brentford?

R. Jones.