Gimnasia La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys Prediction and Stats
Liga Profesional Argentina · Monday 23 November 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata · updated 2026-11-13
Gimnasia La Plata welcome Newell's Old Boys to Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo in La Plata in Liga Profesional Argentina action on Monday 23 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Gimnasia La Plata have played 34 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 53% of them. At home they average 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded over 16 matches, with a 50% win rate. Newell's Old Boys have played 32 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 16 matches, with a 38% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Gimnasia La Plata are narrow favourites at 49%, with the draw at 28% and Newell's Old Boys at 24%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Gimnasia La Plata 1.49, Newell's Old Boys 0.96.
- Over 2.5 goals: 44% · both teams to score: 49%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (34 and 32 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Gimnasia La Plata: form and key numbers
In style Gimnasia La Plata are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.32 a match created, 1.17 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.2).
- Shots: 12.2 a match, 4.2 on target.
- Possession: 45.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 26% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.9 yellow cards a match, 7.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.84.
Newell's Old Boys: form and key numbers
In style Newell's Old Boys play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 0.95 a match created, 1.04 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.7).
- Shots: 10.3 a match, 3.4 on target.
- Possession: 47.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (38% away).
- Both teams scored in 53% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 4.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Gimnasia La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys: season averages side by side
| Gimnasia La Plata | Per match this season | Newell's Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | Matches | 32 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.0 |
| 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 1.32 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.95 |
| 1.17 | xG conceded | 1.04 |
| 12.2 | Shots | 10.3 |
| 4.2 | On target | 3.4 |
| 45.6 | Possession % | 47.0 |
| 26% | Clean sheets % | 25% |
| 56% | Both teams scored % | 53% |
| 3.9 | Corners | 3.9 |
| 2.9 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
| 6.84 | Average rating | 6.76 |
Players to watch
Gimnasia La Plata
- Germán Conti CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 50 · Box defender, Dominant in the air (top 7% of his position)
- Franco Torres RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 50 · Big-chance creator, Gets into scoring positions (top 33% of his position)
Newell's Old Boys
- Lautaro Giannetti CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 59 · Dominant in the air, Blocks shots (top 15% of his position)
- Oscar Salomón CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 53 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 5% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Renzo Giampaoli
Renzo Giampaoli, 26 · Gimnasia La Plata · CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 52
Renzo Giampaoli, 26, plays as a centre-back for Gimnasia La Plata in the Argentine Liga Profesional. Strongest for his role in clearances and aerial duels won. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 52
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Clearances | 8.86 / 90 | 94% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.41 / 90 | 84% |
| Fouls committed | 0.61 / 90 | 76% |
| Blocked shots | 1.16 / 90 | 73% |
| Interceptions | 1.71 / 90 | 65% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★★ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Box defender, Dominant in the air.
- What Renzo Giampaoli is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Renzo Giampaoli's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Gimnasia La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys prediction
Newell's Old Boys should have more of the ball; Gimnasia La Plata work the ball wide and cross; Newell's Old Boys are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.49 for Gimnasia La Plata and 0.96 for Newell's Old Boys - with over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 49%. Gimnasia La Plata have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Gimnasia La Plata 2-0 Newell's Old Boys
Gimnasia La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys: what the numbers say
- 1. Gimnasia La Plata unbeaten (win or draw) 76% between them
- 2. 2 goals or fewer 56% by the model, 2.45 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 16.2 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 corners or fewer 7.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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- Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Saturday 21 November 2026
- Rosario Central vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Sunday 22 November 2026
- River Plate vs Lanús Sunday 22 November 2026
- Instituto vs Huracán Monday 23 November 2026
- Boca Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia Thursday 26 November 2026
Gimnasia La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys: questions and answers
When is Gimnasia La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys?
Gimnasia La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys is on Monday 23 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in Liga Profesional Argentina.
Where is Gimnasia La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys played?
At Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata, Gimnasia La Plata's home ground.
Who will win Gimnasia La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys?
Gimnasia La Plata are the favourites: Gimnasia La Plata 49%, draw 28%, Newell's Old Boys 24%. Our prediction is Gimnasia La Plata 2-0 Newell's Old Boys.
Who is the player to watch in Gimnasia La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys?
Renzo Giampaoli of Gimnasia La Plata: a box defender with a Moneyball Score of 52 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.