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Getafe 3-1 Sevilla: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Getafe 3-1 Sevilla

Getafe won 3-1 at home to Sevilla in La Liga Matchday 11 on Sunday 1 November 2026. The goals: Kike Salas 19', Enes Ünal 68', Martín Satriano 73', Orel Mangala 90+4'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How Getafe won it

The opening goal came in the 19th minute: Kike Salas for Sevilla, set up by Félix Correia. Getafe levelled at 1-1 in the 68th minute through Enes Ünal, set up by Martín Satriano. Getafe turned it round: Martín Satriano made it 2-1 in the 73rd minute, set up by Enes Ünal. Orel Mangala made it 3-1 to Getafe in the 90th minute (+4), set up by Andrés García.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.

The lead changed hands once.

Manu Bueno of Sevilla was sent off in the 90th minute (+1). The referee, V. García Verdura, showed 6 yellow cards: 3 to Getafe and 3 to Sevilla.

Getafe: J. Bordalás Jiménez, 4-2-3-1 · Sevilla: L. García Plaza, 4-4-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.00, and on 3-1 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Sevilla win at 37%; a Getafe win, at 32%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (14%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.2 goals and there were 4.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 37%; with 4 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 45%; both did, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Sevilla win at 37%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.95 for Getafe and 1.58 for Sevilla.

Getafe scored about 2.1 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Getafe had 5 shots on target, Sevilla 4.

Sevilla had 53% of the ball, but Getafe took the points.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Getafe came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 0.90 expected goals for and 1.44 against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Sevilla came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.31 expected goals for and 1.37 against, and had won 42% of their matches.

Getafe vs Sevilla: the match in numbers

GetafeMatch statisticsSevilla
47%Ball possession53%
0.95Expected goals (xG)1.58
11Total shots12
5Shots on target4
2Big chances0
298Total passes343
66%Pass accuracy72%
2Corners2
18Fouls18
0Offsides2
22Tackles28
3Saves2
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Martín Satriano (Getafe), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Getafe

Sevilla

The lowest-rated starter was Odysseas Vlachodimos at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Getafe vs Sevilla

What was the score in Getafe vs Sevilla?

Getafe 3-1 Sevilla (half-time 0-1), La Liga, Sunday 1 November 2026.

Who scored in Getafe vs Sevilla?

Kike Salas 19', Enes Ünal 68', Martín Satriano 73', Orel Mangala 90+4'.

Did Moneyball predict Getafe vs Sevilla correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.00, and on 3-1 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Getafe vs Sevilla?

Martín Satriano, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Getafe vs Sevilla?

V. García Verdura.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.