Genoa 1-0 Venezia: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Serie A Matchday 8 · Sunday 25 October 2026 · Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova · referee S. Sozza · full time
Full time: Genoa 1-0 Venezia
Genoa 1-0 Venezia: Genoa took the points in Serie A Matchday 8 on Sunday 25 October 2026 at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. The goals: Mikael Egill Ellertsson 25'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Genoa won it
The opening goal came in the 25th minute: Mikael Egill Ellertsson for Genoa, set up by Stephan El Shaarawy.
It was 1-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.
The referee, S. Sozza, showed 1 yellow card: 1 to Genoa and 0 to Venezia.
Genoa: D. De Rossi, 3-4-2-1 · Venezia: D. Nicola, 3-5-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Genoa 0.00, and 1-0 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a Genoa win at 41%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (14%).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.4 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 43%; with 1 goal the under came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 50%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Genoa win at 41%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-25, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.71 for Genoa and 0.39 for Venezia.
Genoa had 4 shots on target, Venezia 5.
Genoa's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
Venezia had 55% of the ball, but Genoa took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Genoa came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 0.98 expected goals for and 1.30 against, and had won 36% of their matches.
Venezia came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.43 expected goals for and 1.87 against, and had won 18% of their matches.
Genoa vs Venezia: the match in numbers
| Genoa | Match statistics | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| 45% | Ball possession | 55% |
| 1.71 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.39 |
| 7 | Total shots | 19 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 1 | Big chances | 2 |
| 464 | Total passes | 548 |
| 84% | Pass accuracy | 87% |
| 2 | Corners | 10 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 11 | Tackles | 11 |
| 5 | Saves | 3 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Justin Bijlow (Genoa), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.
Genoa
- Justin Bijlow 8.0
- Leo Østigård 7.5
- Stephan El Shaarawy 7.3 1 assist
- Hamed Traoré 7.2
- Mario Mitaj 7.2
Venezia
- Matteo Dagasso 7.5
- Kike Pérez 7.4
- Ridgeciano Haps 7.2
- Matías Moreno 7.1
- Redouane Halhal 7.1
The lowest-rated starter was Milutin Osmajic at 6.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Genoa: Sassuolo vs Genoa Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A
- Venezia: Juventus vs Venezia Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Genoa vs Venezia
What was the score in Genoa vs Venezia?
Genoa 1-0 Venezia (half-time 1-0), Serie A, Sunday 25 October 2026.
Who scored in Genoa vs Venezia?
Mikael Egill Ellertsson 25'.
Did Moneyball predict Genoa vs Venezia correctly?
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Genoa 0.00, and 1-0 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Genoa vs Venezia?
Justin Bijlow, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Genoa vs Venezia?
S. Sozza.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.