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Genoa 2-0 Juventus: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Genoa 2-0 Juventus

Genoa 2-0 Juventus: Genoa took the points in Serie A Matchday 9 on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. The goals: Kingsley Ehizibue 12', Tommaso Baldanzi 28'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Genoa won it

The opening goal came in the 12th minute: Kingsley Ehizibue for Genoa, set up by Tommaso Baldanzi. Tommaso Baldanzi made it 2-0 to Genoa in the 28th minute.

It was 2-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, D. Doveri, showed 1 yellow card: 0 to Genoa and 1 to Juventus.

Genoa: D. De Rossi, 3-4-2-1 · Juventus: L. Spalletti, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.75, and on 2-0 it was right.

The estimate's most likely result was a Juventus win at 53%; a Genoa win, at 21%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.6 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 49%; with 2 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 51%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-28, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.53 for Genoa and 1.29 for Juventus.

Juventus left about 1.3 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Genoa had 2 shots on target, Juventus 4.

Juventus had 63% of the ball, but Genoa took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Genoa came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 0.98 expected goals for and 1.30 against, and had won 36% of their matches.

Juventus came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.49 expected goals for and 0.92 against, and had won 45% of their matches.

Genoa vs Juventus: the match in numbers

GenoaMatch statisticsJuventus
37%Ball possession63%
1.53Expected goals (xG)1.29
14Total shots17
2Shots on target4
340Total passes593
79%Pass accuracy87%
6Corners9
5Fouls8
2Offsides2
14Tackles11
4Saves0
0Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Tommaso Baldanzi (Genoa), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Genoa

Juventus

The lowest-rated starter was Guglielmo Vicario at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Genoa vs Juventus

What was the score in Genoa vs Juventus?

Genoa 2-0 Juventus (half-time 2-0), Serie A, Wednesday 28 October 2026.

Who scored in Genoa vs Juventus?

Kingsley Ehizibue 12', Tommaso Baldanzi 28'.

Did Moneyball predict Genoa vs Juventus correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.75, and on 2-0 it was right.

Who was man of the match in Genoa vs Juventus?

Tommaso Baldanzi, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Genoa vs Juventus?

D. Doveri.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.