Genoa 1-2 AC Milan: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Serie A Matchday 11 · Sunday 8 November 2026 · Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova · referee D. Massa · full time
Full time: Genoa 1-2 AC Milan
AC Milan beat Genoa 2-1 in Serie A Matchday 11 on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. The goals: Alphadjo Cissè 13', Christian Pulisic 19', Mikael Egill Ellertsson 88'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How AC Milan won it
Alphadjo Cissè put AC Milan ahead in the 13th minute, set up by Adrien Rabiot. Christian Pulisic made it 0-2 to AC Milan in the 19th minute, set up by Gonçalo Ramos. Mikael Egill Ellertsson made it 1-2 to Genoa in the 88th minute, set up by Tommaso Baldanzi.
It was 0-2 at half-time.
The referee, D. Massa, showed 6 yellow cards: 2 to Genoa and 4 to AC Milan.
Genoa: D. De Rossi, 3-4-2-1 · AC Milan: R. Amorim, 3-4-2-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.25, and on 1-2 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was an AC Milan win at 49%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 0-1 (13%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.3 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 41%; with 3 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 46%; both did, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had an AC Milan win at 47%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-08, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.61 for Genoa and 1.14 for AC Milan.
Genoa had 5 shots on target, AC Milan 2.
AC Milan's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
AC Milan had 62% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Genoa came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 0.98 expected goals for and 1.30 against, and had won 36% of their matches.
AC Milan came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.55 expected goals for and 1.12 against, and had won 64% of their matches.
Genoa vs AC Milan: the match in numbers
| Genoa | Match statistics | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| 38% | Ball possession | 62% |
| 0.61 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.14 |
| 17 | Total shots | 6 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 2 | Big chances | 2 |
| 335 | Total passes | 576 |
| 79% | Pass accuracy | 85% |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 17 | Tackles | 18 |
| 0 | Saves | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Christian Pulisic (AC Milan), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Genoa
- Leo Østigård 7.3
- Tommaso Baldanzi 7.0 1 assist
- Mikael Egill Ellertsson 6.9 1 goal
- Samuel Wiafe 6.9
- Junior Messias 6.8
AC Milan
- Christian Pulisic 7.7 1 goal
- Adrien Rabiot 7.6 1 assist
- Luka Modrić 7.0
- Mike Maignan 7.0
- Alphadjo Cissè 6.9 1 goal
The lowest-rated starter was Alessandro Marcandalli at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Genoa: Sassuolo vs Genoa Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A
- AC Milan: AC Milan vs Frosinone Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Genoa vs AC Milan
What was the score in Genoa vs AC Milan?
Genoa 1-2 AC Milan (half-time 0-2), Serie A, Sunday 8 November 2026.
Who scored in Genoa vs AC Milan?
Alphadjo Cissè 13', Christian Pulisic 19', Mikael Egill Ellertsson 88'.
Did Moneyball predict Genoa vs AC Milan correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.25, and on 1-2 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Genoa vs AC Milan?
Christian Pulisic, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Genoa vs AC Milan?
D. Massa.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.