Fiorentina 2-2 Atalanta: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How the match unfolded

The opening goal came in the 41st minute: Charles De Ketelaere for Atalanta, set up by Nicola Zalewski. Fiorentina levelled at 1-1 in the 53rd minute through Alieu Njie, set up by Alejandro Jiménez Sánchez. Fiorentina turned it round: João Mário made it 2-1 in the 61st minute, set up by Alieu Njie. Atalanta levelled at 2-2 in the 74th minute through Nicola Zalewski, set up by Charles De Ketelaere.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, F. La Penna, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to Fiorentina and 2 to Atalanta.

Fiorentina: P. Vanoli, 4-3-3 · Atalanta: M. Sarri, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Fiorentina 0.00. On 2-2 it landed exactly on the line: neither right nor wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Fiorentina win at 47%; a draw, at 24%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (10%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.3 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 64%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 66%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-29, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.12 for Fiorentina and 1.95 for Atalanta.

Atalanta created the better chances, 1.95 xG to 1.12, and still did not win. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Fiorentina to create more, and Atalanta did.

Fiorentina had 4 shots on target, Atalanta 5.

Fiorentina had 50% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Fiorentina came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.72 expected goals for and 1.63 against, and had won 18% of their matches.

Atalanta came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.60 expected goals for and 1.82 against, and had won 36% of their matches.

Fiorentina vs Atalanta: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Alieu Njie (Fiorentina), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Fiorentina

• Alieu Njie 8.3 1 goal, 1 assist
• Alejandro Jiménez Sánchez 8.3 1 assist
• João Mário 7.5 1 goal
• Franco Mastantuono 7.4
• Viery 7.2

Atalanta

• Nicola Zalewski 8.3 1 goal, 1 assist
• Charles De Ketelaere 7.8 1 goal, 1 assist
• Relja Obrić 7.3
• Lorenzo Bernasconi 6.8
• Eljif Elmas 6.8

The lowest-rated starter was Éderson at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Fiorentina: Monza vs Fiorentina Monday 23 November 2026 · Serie A
• Atalanta: Atalanta vs Inter Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Fiorentina vs Atalanta

What was the score in Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Fiorentina 2-2 Atalanta (half-time 0-1), Serie A, Thursday 29 October 2026.

Who scored in Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Charles De Ketelaere 41', Alieu Njie 53', João Mário 61', Nicola Zalewski 74'.

Did Moneyball predict Fiorentina vs Atalanta correctly?

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Fiorentina 0.00. On 2-2 it landed exactly on the line: neither right nor wrong.

Who was man of the match in Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Alieu Njie, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

F. La Penna.