FC København 3-0 Sporting Braga: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa Conference League Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October 2026 · Parken, København · referee J. Kooij · full time
Full time: FC København 3-0 Sporting Braga
FC København 3-0 Sporting Braga: FC København took the points in Europa Conference League Matchday 1 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Parken. The goals: Mohamed Elyounoussi 49', Andreas Cornelius 79', Andreas Cornelius 86'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How FC København won it
FC København struck first through Mohamed Elyounoussi in the 49th minute. Andreas Cornelius made it 2-0 to FC København in the 79th minute, set up by Birger Meling. Andreas Cornelius made it 3-0 to FC København in the 86th minute, set up by Thapelo Maseko.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Andreas Cornelius scored twice.
The referee, J. Kooij, showed 2 yellow cards: 2 to FC København and 0 to Sporting Braga.
FC København: B. Svensson, 4-4-1-1 · Sporting Braga: C. Vicens, 3-4-1-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A miss for the model: 35% for a draw, 32% for a FC København win, and football chose the second.
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 1.7 goals and there were 3.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 25%; with 3 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 34%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
FC København had 6 shots on target, Sporting Braga 1.
Sporting Braga had 64% of the ball, but FC København took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
FC København came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.92 expected goals for and – against, and had won 67% of their matches.
Sporting Braga came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 0.97 expected goals for and – against, and had won 33% of their matches.
FC København vs Sporting Braga: the match in numbers
| FC København | Match statistics | Sporting Braga |
|---|---|---|
| 36% | Ball possession | 64% |
| 9 | Total shots | 6 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 5 | Big chances | 1 |
| 371 | Total passes | 666 |
| 81% | Pass accuracy | 88% |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 9 | Tackles | 12 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Andreas Cornelius (FC København), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.
FC København
- Andreas Cornelius 8.3 2 goals
- Birger Meling 7.5 1 assist
- Mohamed Elyounoussi 7.4 1 goal
- Felix Beijmo 7.3
- William Clem 6.9
Sporting Braga
- Demir Ege Tıknaz 7.2
- Sergio Barcia 7.0
- João Moutinho 6.8
- Jonas Wind 6.8
- Denis Huseinbasic 6.8
The lowest-rated starter was Bright Arrey-Mbi at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- FC København: Inter Club d'Escaldes vs FC København Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
- Sporting Braga: Sporting Braga vs KuPS Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about FC København vs Sporting Braga
What was the score in FC København vs Sporting Braga?
FC København 3-0 Sporting Braga (half-time 0-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 15 October 2026.
Who scored in FC København vs Sporting Braga?
Mohamed Elyounoussi 49', Andreas Cornelius 79', Andreas Cornelius 86'.
Did Moneyball predict FC København vs Sporting Braga correctly?
A miss for the model: 35% for a draw, 32% for a FC København win, and football chose the second.
Who was man of the match in FC København vs Sporting Braga?
Andreas Cornelius, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed FC København vs Sporting Braga?
J. Kooij.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.