Elche 0-2 Real Betis: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
La Liga Matchday 12 · Sunday 8 November 2026 · Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche · referee C. Soto Grado · full time
Full time: Elche 0-2 Real Betis
Elche 0-2 Real Betis: Real Betis took the points in La Liga Matchday 12 on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero. The goals: Rodrigo Riquelme 81', Marc Bartra 89'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Real Betis won it
Rodrigo Riquelme put Real Betis ahead in the 81st minute. Marc Bartra made it 0-2 to Real Betis in the 89th minute, set up by Dani Ceballos.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, C. Soto Grado, showed 5 yellow cards: 5 to Elche and 0 to Real Betis.
Elche: M. Anselmi, 4-3-3 · Real Betis: M. Pellegrini, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Under 3.50, was right: 0-2 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a Real Betis win at 50%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.2 and the match produced two.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 62%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 63%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Real Betis win at 42%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.83 for Elche and 1.05 for Real Betis.
Elche scored about 1.8 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Real Betis to create more, and Elche did.
Elche had 1 shot on target, Real Betis 9.
Elche's goalkeeper made 7 saves.
Real Betis had 52% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Elche came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.32 expected goals for and 1.53 against, and had won 17% of their matches.
Real Betis came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.66 expected goals for and 1.51 against, and had won 67% of their matches.
Elche vs Real Betis: the match in numbers
| Elche | Match statistics | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|
| 48% | Ball possession | 52% |
| 1.83 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.05 |
| 13 | Total shots | 18 |
| 1 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 2 | Big chances | 5 |
| 488 | Total passes | 530 |
| 88% | Pass accuracy | 89% |
| 9 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Offsides | 3 |
| 15 | Tackles | 8 |
| 7 | Saves | 1 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Marc Bartra (Real Betis), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Elche
- Matías Dituro 7.8
- Lucas Cepeda 7.2
- Germán Valera 7.2
- Roy Revivo 7.1
- Grady Diangana 7.1
Real Betis
- Marc Bartra 7.9 1 goal
- Isco 7.9
- Fran García 7.7
- Héctor Bellerín 7.3
- Dani Ceballos 7.3 1 assist
The lowest-rated starter was Martim Neto at 6.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Elche: Levante vs Elche Monday 23 November 2026 · La Liga
- Real Betis: Sevilla vs Real Betis Saturday 21 November 2026 · La Liga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Elche vs Real Betis
What was the score in Elche vs Real Betis?
Elche 0-2 Real Betis (half-time 0-0), La Liga, Sunday 8 November 2026.
Who scored in Elche vs Real Betis?
Rodrigo Riquelme 81', Marc Bartra 89'.
Did Moneyball predict Elche vs Real Betis correctly?
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Under 3.50, was right: 0-2 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Elche vs Real Betis?
Marc Bartra, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Elche vs Real Betis?
C. Soto Grado.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.