Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 FC Köln: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Bundesliga Matchday 6 · Friday 16 October 2026 · Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main · referee B. Brand · full time
Full time: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt won 1-0 at home to FC Köln in Bundesliga Matchday 6 on Friday 16 October 2026. The goals: Younes Ebnoutalib 77'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Eintracht Frankfurt won it
Younes Ebnoutalib put Eintracht Frankfurt ahead in the 77th minute, set up by Noël Aséko.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, B. Brand, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Eintracht Frankfurt and 2 to FC Köln.
Eintracht Frankfurt: A. Hütter, 4-4-2 · FC Köln: R. Wagner, 5-3-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call on the result: 48% for an Eintracht Frankfurt win before the match. The scoreline, 1-0, was not the estimate's first choice (2-1).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 4.2 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 79%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 77%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had an Eintracht Frankfurt win at 46%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.88 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.61 for FC Köln.
FC Köln left about 1.6 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Eintracht Frankfurt to create more, and FC Köln did.
Eintracht Frankfurt had 7 shots on target, FC Köln 3.
FC Köln's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Eintracht Frankfurt had 56% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Eintracht Frankfurt came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 1.67 expected goals for and 2.12 against, and had won 33% of their matches.
FC Köln came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.54 expected goals for and 1.58 against, and had won 22% of their matches.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln: the match in numbers
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Match statistics | FC Köln |
|---|---|---|
| 56% | Ball possession | 44% |
| 0.88 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.61 |
| 15 | Total shots | 9 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 3 | Big chances | 2 |
| 449 | Total passes | 360 |
| 80% | Pass accuracy | 75% |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 22 | Tackles | 29 |
| 3 | Saves | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Lilian Brassier (Eintracht Frankfurt), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.
Eintracht Frankfurt
- Lilian Brassier 8.0
- Robin Koch 7.8
- Noah Atubolu 7.5
- Younes Ebnoutalib 7.3 1 goal
- Ritsu Doan 7.1
FC Köln
- Borna Sosa 7.9
- Marvin Schwäbe 7.8
- Tom Krauß 7.4
- Jahmai Simpson-Pusey 7.0
- Luka Lochoshvili 6.7
The lowest-rated starter was Saïd El Mala at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Eintracht Frankfurt: Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
- FC Köln: FC Bayern München vs FC Köln Friday 20 November 2026 · Bundesliga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln
What was the score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln?
Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 FC Köln (half-time 0-0), Bundesliga, Friday 16 October 2026.
Who scored in Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln?
Younes Ebnoutalib 77'.
Did Moneyball predict Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln correctly?
A correct call on the result: 48% for an Eintracht Frankfurt win before the match. The scoreline, 1-0, was not the estimate's first choice (2-1).
Who was man of the match in Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln?
Lilian Brassier, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln?
B. Brand.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.