Dinamo Moskva 2-0 Akhmat Grozny: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Dinamo Moskva won it

Daniil Fomin put Dinamo Moskva ahead in the 2nd minute. K. Tyukavin made it 2-0 to Dinamo Moskva in the 77th minute, set up by Daniil Fomin.

It was 1-0 at half-time.

The referee, S. Karasev, showed 3 yellow cards: 0 to Dinamo Moskva and 3 to Akhmat Grozny.

Dinamo Moskva: S. Schwarz, 4-2-3-1 · Akhmat Grozny: S. Cherchesov, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Dinamo Moskva win the most likely outcome at 56%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 2-1 rather than 2-0.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.7 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 50%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 51%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.76 for Dinamo Moskva and 2.49 for Akhmat Grozny.

Dinamo Moskva scored about 1.2 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Akhmat Grozny left about 2.5 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Akhmat Grozny created the better chances, 2.49 xG to 0.76, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Dinamo Moskva to create more, and Akhmat Grozny did.

Dinamo Moskva had 12 shots on target, Akhmat Grozny 1.

Akhmat Grozny's goalkeeper made 10 saves.

Dinamo Moskva had 61% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Dinamo Moskva came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.90 expected goals for and 0.98 against, and had won 71% of their matches.

Akhmat Grozny came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.14 expected goals for and 1.29 against, and had won 21% of their matches.

Dinamo Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Vadim Ulyanov (Akhmat Grozny), rated 8.6 by Sportmonks.

Dinamo Moskva

• Daniil Fomin 8.2 1 goal, 1 assist
• Juan José Cáceres 7.8
• K. Tyukavin 7.8 1 goal
• Roberto Fernández 7.6
• Bitello 7.5

Akhmat Grozny

• Vadim Ulyanov 8.6
• Klisman Cake 7.1
• Egas Palanga dos Santos Cacintura 7.0
• Ismael Silva Lima 6.8
• Kalidou Sidibé 6.7

The lowest-rated starter was Mohamed Konaté at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Dinamo Moskva: Dinamo Moskva vs Krasnodar Sunday 22 November 2026 · Russian Premier League
• Akhmat Grozny: CSKA Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny Saturday 21 November 2026 · Russian Premier League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Dinamo Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny

What was the score in Dinamo Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny?

Dinamo Moskva 2-0 Akhmat Grozny (half-time 1-0), Russian Premier League, Saturday 31 October 2026.

Who scored in Dinamo Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny?

Daniil Fomin 2', K. Tyukavin 77'.

Did Moneyball predict Dinamo Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny correctly?

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Dinamo Moskva win the most likely outcome at 56%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 2-1 rather than 2-0.

Who was man of the match in Dinamo Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny?

Vadim Ulyanov, rated 8.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Dinamo Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny?

S. Karasev.