Crystal Palace 1-1 TSG Hoffenheim: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How the match unfolded

TSG Hoffenheim struck first through Alexander Prass in the 7th minute, set up by Tim Lemperle. Crystal Palace levelled at 1-1 in the 90th minute (+1) through Daichi Kamada, set up by Tyrick Mitchell. Late, and enough for a draw.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Adam Wharton of Crystal Palace was sent off in the 77th minute for a second yellow card. The referee, Horatiu Fesnic, showed 8 yellow cards: 5 to Crystal Palace and 3 to TSG Hoffenheim.

Crystal Palace: P. Sage, 3-4-3 · TSG Hoffenheim: C. Ilzer, 4-4-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 3.00, and on 1-1 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Crystal Palace win at 44%; a draw, at 24%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (10%), exactly the final score.

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.3 and the match produced two.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 64%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 66%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Crystal Palace win at 45%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Crystal Palace had 5 shots on target, TSG Hoffenheim 5.

Crystal Palace had 55% of the ball.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Crystal Palace came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.62 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

TSG Hoffenheim came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.63 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Alexander Prass (TSG Hoffenheim), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Crystal Palace

• Daichi Kamada 7.2 1 goal
• Honest Ahanor 7.2
• Jaydee Canvot 7.1
• Chris Richards 7.0
• Jean-Philippe Mateta 7.0

TSG Hoffenheim

• Alexander Prass 7.7 1 goal
• Andrej Kramaric 7.7
• Tim Lemperle 7.6 1 assist
• Oliver Baumann 7.3
• Leon Avdullahu 7.2

The lowest-rated starter was Fisnik Asllani at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Crystal Palace: Coventry City vs Crystal Palace Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
• TSG Hoffenheim: Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim

What was the score in Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Crystal Palace 1-1 TSG Hoffenheim (half-time 0-1), Europa League, Thursday 5 November 2026.

Who scored in Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Alexander Prass 7', Daichi Kamada 90+1'.

Did Moneyball predict Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 3.00, and on 1-1 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Alexander Prass, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Horatiu Fesnic.