Corinthians 2-0 Mirassol: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Corinthians won it

Matheus Bidu put Corinthians ahead in the 58th minute, set up by Matheuzinho. Kaio César made it 2-0 to Corinthians in the 80th minute, set up by Rodrigo Garro.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Bruno Santos of Mirassol was sent off in the 24th minute. The referee, M. Delgado Candançan, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Corinthians and 2 to Mirassol.

Corinthians: C. Seedorf, 4-2-3-1 · Mirassol: R. Silva Guanaes, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Corinthians Win, was right: 2-0 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a Corinthians win at 58%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.7 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 51%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 51%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-30, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.04 for Corinthians and 2.93 for Mirassol.

Corinthians scored about 2.0 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Mirassol left about 2.9 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Mirassol created the better chances, 2.93 xG to 0.04, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Corinthians to create more, and Mirassol did.

Corinthians had 8 shots on target, Mirassol 0.

Mirassol's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Corinthians had 59% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Corinthians came into it with 34 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.04 expected goals for and 1.35 against, and had won 26% of their matches.

Mirassol came into it with 34 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.34 expected goals for and 1.82 against, and had won 29% of their matches.

Corinthians vs Mirassol: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Kaio César (Corinthians), rated 8.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Corinthians

• Kaio César 8.9 1 goal
• Matheuzinho 8.4 1 assist
• Rodrigo Garro 8.3 1 assist
• Matheus Bidu 8.0 1 goal
• Fabrizio Angileri 7.8

Mirassol

• Walter 7.6
• Neto Moura 6.8
• Alesson 6.7
• Wallisson 6.7
• Willian Machado 6.6

The lowest-rated starter was Bruno Santos at 5.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Corinthians: Corinthians vs Botafogo Thursday 19 November 2026 · Brasileirão
• Mirassol: Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro Saturday 14 November 2026 · Brasileirão

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Corinthians vs Mirassol

What was the score in Corinthians vs Mirassol?

Corinthians 2-0 Mirassol (half-time 0-0), Brasileirão, Friday 30 October 2026.

Who scored in Corinthians vs Mirassol?

Matheus Bidu 58', Kaio César 80'.

Did Moneyball predict Corinthians vs Mirassol correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Corinthians Win, was right: 2-0 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Corinthians vs Mirassol?

Kaio César, rated 8.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Corinthians vs Mirassol?

M. Delgado Candançan.