Chelsea 2-0 Manchester United: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Chelsea won it

Chelsea struck first through Morgan Rogers in the 50th minute, set up by Roméo Lavia. Cole Palmer from the penalty spot made it 2-0 to Chelsea in the 64th minute.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Lisandro Martínez of Manchester United was sent off in the 63rd minute for a second yellow card. The referee, P. Bankes, showed 6 yellow cards: 1 to Chelsea and 5 to Manchester United.

Chelsea: X. Alonso Olano, 4-2-3-1 · Manchester United: M. Carrick, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Manchester United +0.50, and on 2-0 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Chelsea win at 49%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.9 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 55%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 58%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Chelsea win at 49%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.12 for Chelsea and 2.44 for Manchester United.

Manchester United left about 2.4 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Manchester United created the better chances, 2.44 xG to 1.12, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Chelsea to create more, and Manchester United did.

Chelsea had 10 shots on target, Manchester United 5.

Manchester United's goalkeeper made 8 saves.

Chelsea had 58% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Chelsea came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.39 expected goals for and 1.44 against, and had won 50% of their matches.

Manchester United came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.76 expected goals for and 1.49 against, and had won 10% of their matches.

Chelsea vs Manchester United: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Cole Palmer (Chelsea), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Chelsea

• Cole Palmer 8.3 1 goal
• Joshua Kofi Acheampong 8.3
• Roméo Lavia 8.0 1 assist
• Morgan Rogers 7.9 1 goal
• Wesley Fofana 7.8

Manchester United

• Senne Lammens 7.9
• Bruno Fernandes 7.0
• Bryan Mbeumo 6.9
• Matheus Cunha 6.8
• Andrey Santos 6.7

The lowest-rated starter was Lisandro Martínez at 5.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Chelsea: Chelsea vs Leeds United Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
• Manchester United: Liverpool vs Manchester United Sunday 22 November 2026 · Premier League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Chelsea vs Manchester United

What was the score in Chelsea vs Manchester United?

Chelsea 2-0 Manchester United (half-time 0-0), Premier League, Saturday 31 October 2026.

Who scored in Chelsea vs Manchester United?

Morgan Rogers 50', Cole Palmer 64'.

Did Moneyball predict Chelsea vs Manchester United correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Manchester United +0.50, and on 2-0 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Chelsea vs Manchester United?

Cole Palmer, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Chelsea vs Manchester United?

P. Bankes.