Charlotte 4-0 Orlando City: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Charlotte won it

Charlotte struck first through Henry Kessler in the 6th minute, set up by Ashley Westwood. Allan Saint-Maximin made it 2-0 to Charlotte in the 49th minute, set up by Harry Toffolo. Abdoulaye Doucouré made it 3-0 to Charlotte in the 84th minute. Rodolfo Aloko made it 4-0 to Charlotte in the 90th minute (+4), set up by Tyger Smalls.

It was 1-0 at half-time.

Allan Saint-Maximin of Charlotte was sent off in the 89th minute. The referee, V. Rivas, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Charlotte and 2 to Orlando City. Allan Saint-Maximin missed a penalty for Charlotte in the 84 minute.

Charlotte: D. Smith, 4-2-3-1 · Orlando City: M. Perelman, 4-4-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A correct call on the result: 51% for a Charlotte win before the match. The scoreline, 4-0, was not the estimate's first choice (3-1).

On goals the estimate was close: about 4.1 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 78%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 75%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.18 for Charlotte and 2.31 for Orlando City.

Charlotte scored about 2.8 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Orlando City left about 2.3 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Orlando City created the better chances, 2.31 xG to 1.18, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Charlotte to create more, and Orlando City did.

Charlotte had 6 shots on target, Orlando City 8.

Charlotte's goalkeeper made 8 saves.

Orlando City had 55% of the ball, but Charlotte took the points.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Charlotte came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.59 expected goals for and 2.08 against, and had won 44% of their matches.

Orlando City came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.54 expected goals for and 1.96 against, and had won 38% of their matches.

Charlotte vs Orlando City: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Kristijan Kahlina (Charlotte), rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.

Charlotte

• Kristijan Kahlina 8.7
• Henry Kessler 7.7 1 goal
• Ashley Westwood 7.7 1 assist
• Rodolfo Aloko 7.5 1 goal
• Abdoulaye Doucouré 7.2 1 goal

Orlando City

• Martín Ojeda 7.9
• Antoine Griezmann 7.5
• Marco Pašalić 7.0
• Braian Ojeda 6.9
• Iago Teodoro 6.6

The lowest-rated starter was Iván Angulo at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Charlotte: Chicago Fire vs Charlotte Sunday 22 November 2026 · MLS
• Orlando City: Orlando City vs Cincinnati Friday 20 November 2026 · MLS

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Charlotte vs Orlando City

What was the score in Charlotte vs Orlando City?

Charlotte 4-0 Orlando City (half-time 1-0), MLS, Saturday 31 October 2026.

Who scored in Charlotte vs Orlando City?

Henry Kessler 6', Allan Saint-Maximin 49', Abdoulaye Doucouré 84', Rodolfo Aloko 90+4'.

Did Moneyball predict Charlotte vs Orlando City correctly?

A correct call on the result: 51% for a Charlotte win before the match. The scoreline, 4-0, was not the estimate's first choice (3-1).

Who was man of the match in Charlotte vs Orlando City?

Kristijan Kahlina, rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Charlotte vs Orlando City?

V. Rivas.