Brentford 1-2 Liverpool: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Premier League Matchday 7 · Saturday 17 October 2026 · Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford · referee J. Brooks · full time
Full time: Brentford 1-2 Liverpool
Brentford 1-2 Liverpool: Liverpool took the points in Premier League Matchday 7 on Saturday 17 October 2026 at Gtech Community Stadium. The goals: Keane Lewis-Potter 44', Víctor Muñoz 62', Alexander Isak 70'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Liverpool won it
The opening goal came in the 44th minute: Keane Lewis-Potter for Brentford, set up by Igor Thiago. Liverpool levelled at 1-1 in the 62nd minute through Víctor Muñoz, set up by Florian Wirtz. Liverpool turned it round: Alexander Isak made it 1-2 in the 70th minute, set up by Bradley Barcola.
It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.
The lead changed hands once.
Yegor Yarmolyuk of Brentford was sent off in the 45th minute (+8). Vitaly Janelt of Brentford was sent off in the 90th minute (+2) for a second yellow card. The referee, J. Brooks, showed 6 yellow cards: 3 to Brentford and 3 to Liverpool.
Brentford: K. Andrews, 4-2-3-1 · Liverpool: A. Iraola, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Over 1.25. On the half-time score, 1-0 it was half wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a Liverpool win at 40%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.3 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 63%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 65%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Liverpool win at 40%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.76 for Brentford and 1.52 for Liverpool.
Brentford had 2 shots on target, Liverpool 5.
Liverpool had 60% of the ball and turned it into the win.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Brentford came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.58 expected goals for and 1.62 against, and had won 30% of their matches.
Liverpool came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.80 expected goals for and 1.43 against, and had won 50% of their matches.
Brentford vs Liverpool: the match in numbers
| Brentford | Match statistics | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 40% | Ball possession | 60% |
| 1.76 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.52 |
| 10 | Total shots | 21 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 2 | Big chances | 1 |
| 330 | Total passes | 503 |
| 74% | Pass accuracy | 83% |
| 3 | Corners | 10 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 16 | Tackles | 14 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool), rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.
Brentford
- Keane Lewis-Potter 7.2 1 goal
- Michael Kayode 7.2
- Kristoffer Ajer 6.9
- Dango Ouattara 6.8
- El Hadji Malick Diouf 6.8
Liverpool
- Alexis Mac Allister 8.2
- Víctor Muñoz 7.5 1 goal
- Florian Wirtz 7.4 1 assist
- Virgil van Dijk 7.3
- Jérémy Jacquet 7.2
The lowest-rated starter was Yegor Yarmolyuk at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Brentford: Brentford vs Everton Monday 23 November 2026 · Premier League
- Liverpool: Liverpool vs Manchester United Sunday 22 November 2026 · Premier League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Brentford vs Liverpool
What was the score in Brentford vs Liverpool?
Brentford 1-2 Liverpool (half-time 1-0), Premier League, Saturday 17 October 2026.
Who scored in Brentford vs Liverpool?
Keane Lewis-Potter 44', Víctor Muñoz 62', Alexander Isak 70'.
Did Moneyball predict Brentford vs Liverpool correctly?
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Over 1.25. On the half-time score, 1-0 it was half wrong.
Who was man of the match in Brentford vs Liverpool?
Alexis Mac Allister, rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Brentford vs Liverpool?
J. Brooks.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.