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Brentford 1-2 Liverpool: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Brentford 1-2 Liverpool

Brentford 1-2 Liverpool: Liverpool took the points in Premier League Matchday 7 on Saturday 17 October 2026 at Gtech Community Stadium. The goals: Keane Lewis-Potter 44', Víctor Muñoz 62', Alexander Isak 70'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How Liverpool won it

The opening goal came in the 44th minute: Keane Lewis-Potter for Brentford, set up by Igor Thiago. Liverpool levelled at 1-1 in the 62nd minute through Víctor Muñoz, set up by Florian Wirtz. Liverpool turned it round: Alexander Isak made it 1-2 in the 70th minute, set up by Bradley Barcola.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.

The lead changed hands once.

Yegor Yarmolyuk of Brentford was sent off in the 45th minute (+8). Vitaly Janelt of Brentford was sent off in the 90th minute (+2) for a second yellow card. The referee, J. Brooks, showed 6 yellow cards: 3 to Brentford and 3 to Liverpool.

Brentford: K. Andrews, 4-2-3-1 · Liverpool: A. Iraola, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Over 1.25. On the half-time score, 1-0 it was half wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Liverpool win at 40%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.3 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 63%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 65%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Liverpool win at 40%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.76 for Brentford and 1.52 for Liverpool.

Brentford had 2 shots on target, Liverpool 5.

Liverpool had 60% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Brentford came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.58 expected goals for and 1.62 against, and had won 30% of their matches.

Liverpool came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.80 expected goals for and 1.43 against, and had won 50% of their matches.

Brentford vs Liverpool: the match in numbers

BrentfordMatch statisticsLiverpool
40%Ball possession60%
1.76Expected goals (xG)1.52
10Total shots21
2Shots on target5
2Big chances1
330Total passes503
74%Pass accuracy83%
3Corners10
7Fouls13
1Offsides2
16Tackles14
3Saves1
4Yellow cards3
2Red cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool), rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.

Brentford

Liverpool

The lowest-rated starter was Yegor Yarmolyuk at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Brentford vs Liverpool

What was the score in Brentford vs Liverpool?

Brentford 1-2 Liverpool (half-time 1-0), Premier League, Saturday 17 October 2026.

Who scored in Brentford vs Liverpool?

Keane Lewis-Potter 44', Víctor Muñoz 62', Alexander Isak 70'.

Did Moneyball predict Brentford vs Liverpool correctly?

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Over 1.25. On the half-time score, 1-0 it was half wrong.

Who was man of the match in Brentford vs Liverpool?

Alexis Mac Allister, rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Brentford vs Liverpool?

J. Brooks.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.