FC Augsburg 1-1 FC Union Berlin: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How the match unfolded

The opening goal came in the 71st minute: Han-Noah Massengo for FC Augsburg, set up by Fabian Rieder. FC Union Berlin levelled at 1-1 in the 74th minute through Janik Haberer, set up by Mekhi Gray.

It was 0-0 at half-time.

Felix Uduokhai of FC Union Berlin was sent off in the 19th minute. Juma Bah of FC Augsburg was sent off in the 63rd minute. The referee, R. Braun, showed 3 yellow cards: 0 to FC Augsburg and 3 to FC Union Berlin.

FC Augsburg: M. Baum, 3-4-2-1 · FC Union Berlin: M. Lustrinelli, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Augsburg -0.50, and on 1-1 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a FC Augsburg win at 49%; a draw, at 23%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (10%), exactly the final score.

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.4 and the match produced two.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 66%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 67%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a FC Augsburg win at 47%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-24, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.27 for FC Augsburg and 2.50 for FC Union Berlin.

FC Union Berlin left about 1.5 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

FC Union Berlin created the better chances, 2.50 xG to 1.27, and still did not win. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected FC Augsburg to create more, and FC Union Berlin did.

FC Augsburg had 5 shots on target, FC Union Berlin 1.

FC Augsburg had 66% of the ball.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

FC Augsburg came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 2.2 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 2.01 expected goals for and 2.70 against, and had won 22% of their matches.

FC Union Berlin came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.12 expected goals for and 1.93 against, and had won 11% of their matches.

FC Augsburg vs FC Union Berlin: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Han-Noah Massengo (FC Augsburg), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

FC Augsburg

• Han-Noah Massengo 7.8 1 goal
• Fabian Rieder 7.8 1 assist
• Arijon Ibrahimović 7.3
• Marius Wolf 7.3
• Hennes Behrens 7.2

FC Union Berlin

• András Schäfer 7.1
• Janik Haberer 7.0 1 goal
• Leopold Querfeld 6.9
• Frederik Rönnow 6.9
• Woo-yeong Jeong 6.8

The lowest-rated starter was Felix Uduokhai at 3.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• FC Augsburg: FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 Sunday 22 November 2026 · Bundesliga
• FC Union Berlin: FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about FC Augsburg vs FC Union Berlin

What was the score in FC Augsburg vs FC Union Berlin?

FC Augsburg 1-1 FC Union Berlin (half-time 0-0), Bundesliga, Saturday 24 October 2026.

Who scored in FC Augsburg vs FC Union Berlin?

Han-Noah Massengo 71', Janik Haberer 74'.

Did Moneyball predict FC Augsburg vs FC Union Berlin correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Augsburg -0.50, and on 1-1 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in FC Augsburg vs FC Union Berlin?

Han-Noah Massengo, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed FC Augsburg vs FC Union Berlin?

R. Braun.