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Atlético de Madrid 1-2 FC Barcelona: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Atlético de Madrid 1-2 FC Barcelona

FC Barcelona won 2-1 away at Atlético de Madrid in La Liga Matchday 12 on Sunday 8 November 2026. The goals: Giuliano Simeone 10', Fermín López 45', Fermín López 66'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How FC Barcelona won it

Atlético de Madrid struck first through Giuliano Simeone in the 10th minute, set up by Julián Alvarez. FC Barcelona levelled at 1-1 in the 45th minute through Fermín López. FC Barcelona turned it round: Fermín López made it 1-2 in the 66th minute, set up by Lamine Yamal.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Fermín López scored twice.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, Javier Alberola Rojas, showed 5 yellow cards: 4 to Atlético de Madrid and 1 to FC Barcelona.

Atlético de Madrid: D. Simeone, 4-4-2 · FC Barcelona: H. Flick, 4-1-4-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Atletico Madrid +0.75. On 1-2 it was half wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a FC Barcelona win at 53%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-2 (9%), exactly the final score.

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.8 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 71%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 71%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-08, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.49 for Atlético de Madrid and 1.22 for FC Barcelona.

Atlético de Madrid had 4 shots on target, FC Barcelona 4.

FC Barcelona had 63% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Atlético de Madrid came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.60 expected goals for and 1.19 against, and had won 75% of their matches.

FC Barcelona came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 4.0 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 2.97 expected goals for and 0.97 against, and had won 92% of their matches.

Atlético de Madrid vs FC Barcelona: the match in numbers

Atlético de MadridMatch statisticsFC Barcelona
37%Ball possession63%
1.49Expected goals (xG)1.22
9Total shots19
4Shots on target4
4Big chances2
389Total passes675
81%Pass accuracy91%
4Corners2
14Fouls14
5Offsides1
30Tackles15
3Saves3
4Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Fermín López (FC Barcelona), rated 9.0 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Atlético de Madrid

FC Barcelona

The lowest-rated starter was Alejandro Grimaldo at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Atlético de Madrid vs FC Barcelona

What was the score in Atlético de Madrid vs FC Barcelona?

Atlético de Madrid 1-2 FC Barcelona (half-time 1-1), La Liga, Sunday 8 November 2026.

Who scored in Atlético de Madrid vs FC Barcelona?

Giuliano Simeone 10', Fermín López 45', Fermín López 66'.

Did Moneyball predict Atlético de Madrid vs FC Barcelona correctly?

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Atletico Madrid +0.75. On 1-2 it was half wrong.

Who was man of the match in Atlético de Madrid vs FC Barcelona?

Fermín López, rated 9.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Atlético de Madrid vs FC Barcelona?

Javier Alberola Rojas.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.