Atlético de Madrid 1-0 Deportivo A Coruña: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
La Liga Matchday 10 · Saturday 24 October 2026 · Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid · referee J. Sánchez Martínez · full time
Full time: Atlético de Madrid 1-0 Deportivo A Coruña
Atlético de Madrid beat Deportivo A Coruña 1-0 in La Liga Matchday 10 on Saturday 24 October 2026 at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. The goals: Julián Alvarez 48'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Atlético de Madrid won it
Julián Alvarez put Atlético de Madrid ahead in the 48th minute, set up by Alejandro Grimaldo.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, J. Sánchez Martínez, showed 7 yellow cards: 4 to Atlético de Madrid and 3 to Deportivo A Coruña.
Atlético de Madrid: D. Simeone, 4-3-3 · Deportivo A Coruña: A. Hidalgo Morilla, 5-3-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.00, and on 1-0 it was right.
The estimate's most likely result was an Atlético de Madrid win at 77%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (12%).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.3 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 63%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 48%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-24, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.87 for Atlético de Madrid and 1.71 for Deportivo A Coruña.
Deportivo A Coruña left about 1.7 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Atlético de Madrid had 4 shots on target, Deportivo A Coruña 5.
Atlético de Madrid's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
Atlético de Madrid had 55% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Atlético de Madrid came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.60 expected goals for and 1.19 against, and had won 75% of their matches.
Deportivo A Coruña came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.34 expected goals for and 1.19 against, and had won 25% of their matches.
Atlético de Madrid vs Deportivo A Coruña: the match in numbers
| Atlético de Madrid | Match statistics | Deportivo A Coruña |
|---|---|---|
| 55% | Ball possession | 45% |
| 1.87 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.71 |
| 20 | Total shots | 15 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 3 | Big chances | 3 |
| 545 | Total passes | 434 |
| 88% | Pass accuracy | 87% |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 16 | Tackles | 11 |
| 5 | Saves | 3 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Julián Alvarez (Atlético de Madrid), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Atlético de Madrid
- Julián Alvarez 8.3 1 goal
- Jan Oblak 7.7
- Alejandro Grimaldo 7.7 1 assist
- Dávid Hancko 7.5
- Marc Pubill 7.3
Deportivo A Coruña
- Yeremay Hernández 7.3
- Mario Soriano 7.3
- Adrià Altimira 7.3
- José María Giménez 7.1
- Bil Nsongo 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was David Mella at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Atlético de Madrid: Getafe vs Atlético de Madrid Sunday 22 November 2026 · La Liga
- Deportivo A Coruña: Deportivo Alavés vs Deportivo A Coruña Saturday 21 November 2026 · La Liga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Atlético de Madrid vs Deportivo A Coruña
What was the score in Atlético de Madrid vs Deportivo A Coruña?
Atlético de Madrid 1-0 Deportivo A Coruña (half-time 0-0), La Liga, Saturday 24 October 2026.
Who scored in Atlético de Madrid vs Deportivo A Coruña?
Julián Alvarez 48'.
Did Moneyball predict Atlético de Madrid vs Deportivo A Coruña correctly?
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.00, and on 1-0 it was right.
Who was man of the match in Atlético de Madrid vs Deportivo A Coruña?
Julián Alvarez, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Atlético de Madrid vs Deportivo A Coruña?
J. Sánchez Martínez.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.