Atalanta 0-3 Parma: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Parma won it

Giovanni Fabbian put Parma ahead in the 41st minute, set up by Vincent Sierro. An own goal by Davide Zappacosta made it 0-2 to Parma in the 47th minute. Simone Lontani made it 0-3 to Parma in the 58th minute, set up by Giovanni Fabbian.

It was 0-1 at half-time.

Atalanta: M. Sarri, 4-2-3-1 · Parma: A. Gilardino, 3-5-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Atalanta Win, and on 0-3 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was an Atalanta win at 62%; a Parma win, at 17%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-1 (10%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 61%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 58%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an Atalanta win at 62%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-02, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.46 for Atalanta and 2.82 for Parma.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Atalanta to create more, and Parma did.

Atalanta had 6 shots on target, Parma 3.

Parma's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Atalanta had 70% of the ball, but Parma took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Atalanta came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.60 expected goals for and 1.82 against, and had won 36% of their matches.

Parma came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 0.94 expected goals for and 1.94 against, and had won 18% of their matches.

Atalanta vs Parma: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Giovanni Daffara (Parma), rated 8.5 by Sportmonks.

Atalanta

• Relja Obrić 7.1
• Jonathan Rowe 7.1
• Eljif Elmas 7.0
• Charles De Ketelaere 6.8
• Mario Pašalić 6.8

Parma

• Giovanni Daffara 8.5
• Giovanni Fabbian 7.9 1 goal, 1 assist
• Vincent Sierro 7.5 1 assist
• Mariano Troilo 7.4
• Simone Lontani 7.3 1 goal

The lowest-rated starter was Marco Carnesecchi at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Atalanta: Atalanta vs Inter Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A
• Parma: Parma vs Roma Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Atalanta vs Parma

What was the score in Atalanta vs Parma?

Atalanta 0-3 Parma (half-time 0-1), Serie A, Monday 2 November 2026.

Who scored in Atalanta vs Parma?

Giovanni Fabbian 41', Simone Lontani 58'.

Did Moneyball predict Atalanta vs Parma correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Atalanta Win, and on 0-3 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Atalanta vs Parma?

Giovanni Daffara, rated 8.5 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Atalanta vs Parma?

V. Crezzini.