Aston Villa 3-1 Viking: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Aston Villa won it

The opening goal came in the 23rd minute: Ross Barkley for Aston Villa, set up by Ibrahim Mbaye. Emiliano Buendía from the penalty spot made it 2-0 to Aston Villa in the 37th minute. An own goal by Henrik Heggheim made it 3-0 to Aston Villa in the 62nd minute. Peter Christiansen made it 3-1 to Viking in the 84th minute, set up by Kristoffer Askildsen.

It was 2-0 at half-time.

Aston Villa: U. Emery Etxegoien, 4-2-3-1 · Viking: B. Lunde Aarsheim, 4-5-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Under 1.50, and on the half-time score, 2-0 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was an Aston Villa win at 75%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (9%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.8 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 72%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 59%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an Aston Villa win at 73%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-21, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Aston Villa had 10 shots on target, Viking 3.

Viking's goalkeeper made 8 saves.

Aston Villa had 55% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Aston Villa came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 2.33 expected goals for and – against, and had won 75% of their matches.

Viking came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 2.3 and conceding 2.5 a match, with 1.36 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Aston Villa vs Viking: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Arild Østbø (Viking), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Aston Villa

• Alysson 7.8
• John McGinn 7.7
• Ross Barkley 7.4 1 goal
• Pau Torres 7.4
• Ibrahim Mbaye 7.2 1 assist

Viking

• Arild Østbø 8.0
• Peter Christiansen 7.1 1 goal
• Kristoffer Askildsen 7.1 1 assist
• Tobias Moi 7.0
• Gianni Stensness 6.7

The lowest-rated starter was Henrik Heggheim at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Aston Villa: Aston Villa vs Sunderland Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
• Viking: Atlético de Madrid vs Viking Wednesday 25 November 2026 · Champions League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Aston Villa vs Viking

What was the score in Aston Villa vs Viking?

Aston Villa 3-1 Viking (half-time 2-0), Champions League, Wednesday 21 October 2026.

Who scored in Aston Villa vs Viking?

Ross Barkley 23', Emiliano Buendía 37', Peter Christiansen 84'.

Did Moneyball predict Aston Villa vs Viking correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Under 1.50, and on the half-time score, 2-0 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Aston Villa vs Viking?

Arild Østbø, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Aston Villa vs Viking?

S. Gishamer.