Aston Villa 1-1 Fulham: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How the match unfolded

Aston Villa struck first through Nicolas Jackson in the 39th minute, set up by Johan Manzambi. Fulham levelled at 1-1 in the 64th minute through an own goal by Zion Suzuki.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, S. Barrott, showed 4 yellow cards: 1 to Aston Villa and 3 to Fulham. John McGinn missed a penalty for Aston Villa in the 16 minute.

Aston Villa: U. Emery Etxegoien, 4-2-3-1 · Fulham: Á. Arbeloa Coca, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Under 2.75, and 1-1 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was an Aston Villa win at 43%; a draw, at 26%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%), exactly the final score.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.8 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 53%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 57%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.86 for Aston Villa and 1.80 for Fulham.

Aston Villa scored about 1.9 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Aston Villa created the better chances, 2.86 xG to 1.80, and still did not win. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Aston Villa had 3 shots on target, Fulham 5.

Fulham had 55% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Aston Villa came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.37 expected goals for and 1.95 against, and had won 30% of their matches.

Fulham came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.58 expected goals for and 1.26 against, and had won 20% of their matches.

Aston Villa vs Fulham: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Aston Villa

• Nicolas Jackson 7.8 1 goal
• Zion Suzuki 7.5
• Matty Cash 7.1
• Boubacar Kamara 7.0
• Emiliano Buendía 6.9

Fulham

• David Affengruber 7.6
• Alex Iwobi 7.1
• Oscar Bobb 7.0
• Kenny Tete 6.9
• Sander Berge 6.9

The lowest-rated starter was Gonzalo García Torres at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Aston Villa: Aston Villa vs Sunderland Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
• Fulham: Manchester City vs Fulham Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Aston Villa vs Fulham

What was the score in Aston Villa vs Fulham?

Aston Villa 1-1 Fulham (half-time 1-0), Premier League, Saturday 31 October 2026.

Who scored in Aston Villa vs Fulham?

Nicolas Jackson 39'.

Did Moneyball predict Aston Villa vs Fulham correctly?

A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Under 2.75, and 1-1 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Aston Villa vs Fulham?

Nicolas Jackson, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Aston Villa vs Fulham?

S. Barrott.