Roma 2-0 Genoa: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Roma won it

The opening goal came in the 50th minute: Santiago Castro for Roma. Emanuele Lulli made it 2-0 to Roma in the 68th minute.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, R. Abisso, showed 5 yellow cards: 2 to Roma and 3 to Genoa.

Roma: G. Gasperini, 3-4-2-1 · Genoa: D. De Rossi, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Genoa +1.75. On 2-0 it was half wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Roma win at 65%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (12%), exactly the final score.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.8 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 53%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 48%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Roma win at 69%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.61 for Roma and 1.63 for Genoa.

Roma scored about 1.4 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Genoa left about 1.6 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Genoa created the better chances, 1.63 xG to 0.61, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Roma to create more, and Genoa did.

Roma had 5 shots on target, Genoa 1.

Roma had 66% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Roma came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 2.8 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 2.32 expected goals for and 1.23 against, and had won 73% of their matches.

Genoa came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 0.98 expected goals for and 1.30 against, and had won 36% of their matches.

Roma vs Genoa: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Leonardo Balerdi (Roma), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Roma

• Leonardo Balerdi 7.8
• Matías Soulé 7.5
• Emanuele Lulli 7.4 1 goal
• Santiago Castro 7.4 1 goal
• Evan Ndicka 7.2

Genoa

• Junior Messias 7.0
• Leo Østigård 6.9
• Stephan El Shaarawy 6.8
• Milutin Osmajic 6.7
• Alessandro Marcandalli 6.7

The lowest-rated starter was Mikael Egill Ellertsson at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Roma: Parma vs Roma Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A
• Genoa: Sassuolo vs Genoa Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Roma vs Genoa

What was the score in Roma vs Genoa?

Roma 2-0 Genoa (half-time 0-0), Serie A, Saturday 17 October 2026.

Who scored in Roma vs Genoa?

Santiago Castro 50', Emanuele Lulli 68'.

Did Moneyball predict Roma vs Genoa correctly?

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Genoa +1.75. On 2-0 it was half wrong.

Who was man of the match in Roma vs Genoa?

Leonardo Balerdi, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Roma vs Genoa?

R. Abisso.