Argentinos Juniors 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Argentinos Juniors won it

The opening goal came in the 67th minute: Sebastián Prieto for Argentinos Juniors, set up by Gastón Verón.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, D. Herrera, showed 9 yellow cards: 6 to Argentinos Juniors and 3 to Independiente Rivadavia.

Argentinos Juniors: N. Diez Parajon, 4-3-3 · Independiente Rivadavia: A. Berti, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Argentinos Juniors -0.25, and 1-0 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was an Argentinos Juniors win at 43%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (14%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.2 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 38%; with 1 goal the under came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 45%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-27, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.60 for Argentinos Juniors and 1.19 for Independiente Rivadavia.

Independiente Rivadavia left about 1.2 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Argentinos Juniors to create more, and Independiente Rivadavia did.

Argentinos Juniors had 6 shots on target, Independiente Rivadavia 3.

Independiente Rivadavia's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Argentinos Juniors had 54% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Argentinos Juniors came into it with 35 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.25 expected goals for and 1.24 against, and had won 54% of their matches.

Independiente Rivadavia came into it with 33 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.33 expected goals for and 1.13 against, and had won 48% of their matches.

Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Sebastián Prieto (Argentinos Juniors), rated 7.5 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Argentinos Juniors

• Sebastián Prieto 7.5 1 goal
• Érik Godoy 7.3
• Gastón Verón 7.3 1 assist
• Kevin Gutiérrez 7.3
• Francisco Álvarez 7.3

Independiente Rivadavia

• José Florentín 7.2
• Tomás Bottari 7.2
• Alejo Osella 7.0
• Alex Vigo 7.0
• Leonard Costa 7.0

The lowest-rated starter was Álex Arce at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Argentinos Juniors: Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Saturday 21 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
• Independiente Rivadavia: Boca Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia Thursday 26 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia

What was the score in Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Argentinos Juniors 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia (half-time 0-0), Liga Profesional Argentina, Tuesday 27 October 2026.

Who scored in Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Sebastián Prieto 67'.

Did Moneyball predict Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia correctly?

A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Argentinos Juniors -0.25, and 1-0 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Sebastián Prieto, rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia?

D. Herrera.