AGF 1-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How the match unfolded

The opening goal came in the 13th minute: Ildi Gruda for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, set up by Daniel Adjessa. AGF levelled at 1-1 in the 49th minute through James Bogere, set up by Sebastian Jørgensen.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Eric Kahl of AGF was sent off in the 3rd minute. The referee, A. Čulina, showed 5 yellow cards: 1 to AGF and 4 to Egnatia Rrogozhinë.

AGF: J. Poulsen, 3-4-2-1 · Egnatia Rrogozhinë: N. Dede, 4-3-1-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to an Egnatia Rrogozhinë win at 59% and gave a draw 18%; the match went the other way. At 18%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 6.

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 4.7 and the match produced two.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 85%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 79%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-22, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

AGF had 2 shots on target, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 7.

AGF's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë had 66% of the ball.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

AGF came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 0.3 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 0.99 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 0.58 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

AGF vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: James Bogere (AGF), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

AGF

• James Bogere 7.8 1 goal
• Jesper Hansen 7.4
• Sebastian Jørgensen 7.2 1 assist
• Tobias Mölgaard 7.0
• Kristian Arnstad 7.0

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

• Ildi Gruda 7.7 1 goal
• Albano Aleksi 7.4
• Karim Loukili 7.1
• Geralb Smajli 7.1
• Fernando Medeiros 7.1

The lowest-rated starter was Eric Kahl at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• AGF: Brann vs AGF Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
• Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lincoln Red Imps Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about AGF vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

What was the score in AGF vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

AGF 1-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë (half-time 0-1), Europa Conference League, Thursday 22 October 2026.

Who scored in AGF vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

Ildi Gruda 13', James Bogere 49'.

Did Moneyball predict AGF vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë correctly?

The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to an Egnatia Rrogozhinë win at 59% and gave a draw 18%; the match went the other way. At 18%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 6.

Who was man of the match in AGF vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

James Bogere, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed AGF vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

A. Čulina.