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Zenit 2-2 Rostov: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Zenit 2-2 Rostov

Zenit and Rostov drew 2-2 in Russian Premier League Matchday 14 on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Gazprom Arena. The goals: Douglas Santos 15', Luiz Henrique 58', Ivan Komarov 83'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How the match unfolded

Zenit struck first through Douglas Santos in the 15th minute, set up by Maksim Glushenkov. Rostov levelled at 1-1 in the 53rd minute through an own goal by K. Andrade. Luiz Henrique made it 2-1 to Zenit in the 58th minute, set up by Artem Karpukas. Rostov levelled at 2-2 in the 83rd minute through Ivan Komarov, set up by Andrey Langovich.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, S. Matveev, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Zenit and 2 to Rostov.

Zenit: S. Semak, 4-2-3-1 · Rostov: D. Kirichenko, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.75, and on 2-2 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Zenit win at 61%; a draw, at 23%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-0 (12%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.7 goals and there were 4.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 52%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 49%; both did, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Zenit win at 66%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-08, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.46 for Zenit and 1.12 for Rostov.

Zenit scored about 1.5 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Zenit to create more, and Rostov did.

Zenit had 5 shots on target, Rostov 3.

Zenit had 57% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Zenit came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.87 expected goals for and 1.03 against, and had won 71% of their matches.

Rostov came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 0.99 expected goals for and 1.21 against, and had won 36% of their matches.

Zenit vs Rostov: the match in numbers

ZenitMatch statisticsRostov
57%Ball possession43%
0.46Expected goals (xG)1.12
13Total shots9
5Shots on target3
1Big chances1
493Total passes376
79%Pass accuracy79%
3Corners0
13Fouls14
1Offsides0
12Tackles18
2Saves3
2Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Maksim Glushenkov (Zenit), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

Zenit

Rostov

The lowest-rated starter was K. Andrade at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Zenit vs Rostov

What was the score in Zenit vs Rostov?

Zenit 2-2 Rostov (half-time 1-0), Russian Premier League, Sunday 8 November 2026.

Who scored in Zenit vs Rostov?

Douglas Santos 15', Luiz Henrique 58', Ivan Komarov 83'.

Did Moneyball predict Zenit vs Rostov correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.75, and on 2-2 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Zenit vs Rostov?

Maksim Glushenkov, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Zenit vs Rostov?

S. Matveev.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.