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Wolverhampton Wanderers 3-0 Cardiff City: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Wolverhampton Wanderers 3-0 Cardiff City

Wolverhampton Wanderers won 3-0 at home to Cardiff City in Championship Matchday 13 on Saturday 31 October 2026. The goals: Fernando López González 10', Adam Armstrong 15', Ladislav Krejci 58'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Wolverhampton Wanderers won it

Wolverhampton Wanderers struck first through Fernando López González in the 10th minute, set up by Hugo Bueno. Adam Armstrong made it 2-0 to Wolverhampton Wanderers in the 15th minute, set up by Rafiki Saïd. Ladislav Krejci made it 3-0 to Wolverhampton Wanderers in the 58th minute, set up by Kieran Trippier.

It was 2-0 at half-time.

The referee, J. Smith, showed 6 yellow cards: 4 to Wolverhampton Wanderers and 2 to Cardiff City.

Wolverhampton Wanderers: P. da Silva Peixoto, 4-2-3-1 · Cardiff City: B. Barry-Murphy, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A correct call on the result: 49% for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win before the match. The scoreline, 3-0, was not the estimate's first choice (2-1).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 62%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 63%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.41 for Wolverhampton Wanderers and 1.13 for Cardiff City.

Wolverhampton Wanderers scored about 1.6 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Cardiff City left about 1.1 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Wolverhampton Wanderers had 4 shots on target, Cardiff City 9.

Wolverhampton Wanderers's goalkeeper made 9 saves.

Cardiff City had 61% of the ball, but Wolverhampton Wanderers took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Wolverhampton Wanderers came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.72 expected goals for and 0.93 against, and had won 53% of their matches.

Cardiff City came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 2.13 expected goals for and 1.61 against, and had won 27% of their matches.

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City: the match in numbers

Wolverhampton WanderersMatch statisticsCardiff City
39%Ball possession61%
1.41Expected goals (xG)1.13
13Total shots13
4Shots on target9
4Big chances1
303Total passes499
76%Pass accuracy82%
3Corners5
20Fouls8
1Offsides2
16Tackles21
9Saves1
4Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: José Sá (Wolverhampton Wanderers), rated 9.0 by Sportmonks.

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Cardiff City

The lowest-rated starter was Nathan Trott at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City

What was the score in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City?

Wolverhampton Wanderers 3-0 Cardiff City (half-time 2-0), Championship, Saturday 31 October 2026.

Who scored in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City?

Fernando López González 10', Adam Armstrong 15', Ladislav Krejci 58'.

Did Moneyball predict Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City correctly?

A correct call on the result: 49% for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win before the match. The scoreline, 3-0, was not the estimate's first choice (2-1).

Who was man of the match in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City?

José Sá, rated 9.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City?

J. Smith.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.