Willem II 1-1 PEC Zwolle: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Eredivisie Matchday 12 · Friday 6 November 2026 · Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg · referee A. Lindhout · full time
Full time: Willem II 1-1 PEC Zwolle
Willem II and PEC Zwolle drew 1-1 in Eredivisie Matchday 12 on Friday 6 November 2026 at Koning Willem II Stadion. The goals: Sydney van Hooijdonk 2', Hidde ter Avest 3'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How the match unfolded
Sydney van Hooijdonk put PEC Zwolle ahead in the 2nd minute. Willem II levelled at 1-1 in the 3rd minute through Hidde ter Avest.
It was 1-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.
The referee, A. Lindhout, showed 1 yellow card: 1 to Willem II and 0 to PEC Zwolle.
Willem II: J. Streppel, 4-2-3-1 · PEC Zwolle: D. van der Ree, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a PEC Zwolle win the likeliest outcome (41%), and a draw, at 24%, is what happened. At 24%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 4.
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.2 and the match produced two.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 62%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 64%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.04 for Willem II and 1.42 for PEC Zwolle.
Willem II had 5 shots on target, PEC Zwolle 2.
PEC Zwolle had 58% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Willem II came into it with 12 Eredivisie matches played, scoring 0.9 and conceding 3.3 a match, with 1.29 expected goals for and 2.11 against, and had won 0% of their matches.
PEC Zwolle came into it with 12 Eredivisie matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.21 expected goals for and 1.98 against, and had won 25% of their matches.
Willem II vs PEC Zwolle: the match in numbers
| Willem II | Match statistics | PEC Zwolle |
|---|---|---|
| 42% | Ball possession | 58% |
| 1.04 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.42 |
| 13 | Total shots | 14 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 1 | Big chances | 1 |
| 413 | Total passes | 557 |
| 81% | Pass accuracy | 85% |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 10 | Tackles | 12 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Hidde ter Avest (Willem II), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Willem II
- Hidde ter Avest 7.7 1 goal
- Nathan Tjoe-A-On 7.5
- Tonny Vilhena 7.2
- Finn Stam 7.0
- Jari Schuurman 6.8
PEC Zwolle
- Sydney van Hooijdonk 7.7 1 goal
- Dylan Mbayo 7.3
- Ryan Thomas 7.3
- Tobias Sommer 7.2
- Jasper Schendelaar 7.2
The lowest-rated starter was Gilles van der Wal at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Willem II: FC Twente vs Willem II Sunday 22 November 2026 · Eredivisie
- PEC Zwolle: Telstar vs PEC Zwolle Saturday 21 November 2026 · Eredivisie
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Willem II vs PEC Zwolle
What was the score in Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
Willem II 1-1 PEC Zwolle (half-time 1-1), Eredivisie, Friday 6 November 2026.
Who scored in Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
Sydney van Hooijdonk 2', Hidde ter Avest 3'.
Did Moneyball predict Willem II vs PEC Zwolle correctly?
This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a PEC Zwolle win the likeliest outcome (41%), and a draw, at 24%, is what happened. At 24%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 4.
Who was man of the match in Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
Hidde ter Avest, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
A. Lindhout.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.