Westerlo 1-5 Sporting Charleroi: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Belgian Pro League Matchday 11 · Saturday 7 November 2026 · Het Kuipje, Westerlo · referee W. De Cremer · full time
Full time: Westerlo 1-5 Sporting Charleroi
Sporting Charleroi won 5-1 away at Westerlo in Belgian Pro League Matchday 11 on Saturday 7 November 2026. The goals: Aurélien Scheidler 58', Freddy Mbemba 60', Patrick Pflücke 65', Aurélien Scheidler 72', Norman Bassette 74', Adama Bojang 89'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Sporting Charleroi won it
Aurélien Scheidler put Sporting Charleroi ahead in the 58th minute. Freddy Mbemba made it 0-2 to Sporting Charleroi in the 60th minute, set up by Aurélien Scheidler. Patrick Pflücke made it 0-3 to Sporting Charleroi in the 65th minute. Aurélien Scheidler made it 0-4 to Sporting Charleroi in the 72nd minute, set up by Freddy Mbemba. Norman Bassette made it 1-4 to Westerlo in the 74th minute, set up by Felix Emmanuel Tsimba. Adama Bojang from the penalty spot made it 1-5 to Sporting Charleroi in the 89th minute.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Aurélien Scheidler scored twice.
Pape Diong of Westerlo was sent off in the 87th minute. The referee, W. De Cremer, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Westerlo and 2 to Sporting Charleroi.
Westerlo: I. Charai, 4-2-3-1 · Sporting Charleroi: M. Kohnen, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A Sporting Charleroi win was the estimate's call at 50%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-3 was the likeliest, 1-5 the real one.
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.9 goals and there were 6.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 75%; with 6 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 73%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 3.44 for Westerlo and 1.06 for Sporting Charleroi.
Westerlo scored about 2.4 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.
Sporting Charleroi made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 3.9 goals.
Westerlo created the better chances, 3.44 xG to 1.06, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Sporting Charleroi to create more, and Westerlo did.
Westerlo had 3 shots on target, Sporting Charleroi 10.
Westerlo's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
Westerlo had 54% of the ball, but Sporting Charleroi took the points.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Westerlo came into it with 11 Belgian Pro League matches played, scoring 2.4 and conceding 2.7 a match, with 1.60 expected goals for and 2.05 against, and had won 36% of their matches.
Sporting Charleroi came into it with 11 Belgian Pro League matches played, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 2.21 expected goals for and 1.05 against, and had won 82% of their matches.
Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi: the match in numbers
| Westerlo | Match statistics | Sporting Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| 54% | Ball possession | 46% |
| 3.44 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.06 |
| 10 | Total shots | 21 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 10 |
| 2 | Big chances | 4 |
| 501 | Total passes | 422 |
| 88% | Pass accuracy | 87% |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 18 | Tackles | 14 |
| 5 | Saves | 2 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Aurélien Scheidler (Sporting Charleroi), rated 9.3 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals, 1 assist.
Westerlo
- Norman Bassette 7.3 1 goal
- Felix Emmanuel Tsimba 7.0 1 assist
- Isa Sakamoto 6.8
- Botond Balogh 6.8
- Nikola Storm 6.7
Sporting Charleroi
- Aurélien Scheidler 9.3 2 goals, 1 assist
- Adama Bojang 7.7 1 goal
- Freddy Mbemba 7.6 1 goal, 1 assist
- Patrick Pflücke 7.5 1 goal
- Yassine Khalifi 7.5
The lowest-rated starter was Seiji Kimura at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Westerlo: Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo Friday 20 November 2026 · Belgian Pro League
- Sporting Charleroi: Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden Saturday 21 November 2026 · Belgian Pro League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi
What was the score in Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi?
Westerlo 1-5 Sporting Charleroi (half-time 0-0), Belgian Pro League, Saturday 7 November 2026.
Who scored in Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi?
Aurélien Scheidler 58', Freddy Mbemba 60', Patrick Pflücke 65', Aurélien Scheidler 72', Norman Bassette 74', Adama Bojang 89'.
Did Moneyball predict Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi correctly?
A Sporting Charleroi win was the estimate's call at 50%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-3 was the likeliest, 1-5 the real one.
Who was man of the match in Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi?
Aurélien Scheidler, rated 9.3 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi?
W. De Cremer.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.