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Werder Bremen 2-0 TSG Hoffenheim: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Werder Bremen 2-0 TSG Hoffenheim

Werder Bremen 2-0 TSG Hoffenheim: Werder Bremen took the points in Bundesliga Matchday 8 on Saturday 31 October 2026 at Wohninvest Weserstadion. The goals: Niclas Füllkrug 57', Eren Dinkçi 82'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Werder Bremen won it

The opening goal came in the 57th minute: Niclas Füllkrug for Werder Bremen, set up by Karl Hein. Eren Dinkçi made it 2-0 to Werder Bremen in the 82nd minute, set up by Marco Grüll.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, T. Reichel, showed 3 yellow cards: 3 to Werder Bremen and 0 to TSG Hoffenheim.

Werder Bremen: D. Thioune, 4-2-3-1 · TSG Hoffenheim: C. Ilzer, 3-5-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Under 3.25, was right: 2-0 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a TSG Hoffenheim win at 39%; a Werder Bremen win, at 37%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.3 and the match produced two.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 63%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 65%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a TSG Hoffenheim win at 43%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.44 for Werder Bremen and 1.66 for TSG Hoffenheim.

TSG Hoffenheim left about 1.7 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Werder Bremen had 4 shots on target, TSG Hoffenheim 2.

TSG Hoffenheim had 59% of the ball, but Werder Bremen took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Werder Bremen came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.63 expected goals for and 1.50 against, and had won 44% of their matches.

TSG Hoffenheim came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.93 expected goals for and 1.52 against, and had won 44% of their matches.

Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim: the match in numbers

Werder BremenMatch statisticsTSG Hoffenheim
41%Ball possession59%
1.44Expected goals (xG)1.66
17Total shots16
4Shots on target2
1Big chances1
370Total passes527
72%Pass accuracy82%
8Corners4
11Fouls11
0Offsides1
26Tackles14
1Saves2
3Yellow cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Niclas Füllkrug (Werder Bremen), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Werder Bremen

TSG Hoffenheim

The lowest-rated starter was Natnael Abraha at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim

What was the score in Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Werder Bremen 2-0 TSG Hoffenheim (half-time 0-0), Bundesliga, Saturday 31 October 2026.

Who scored in Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Niclas Füllkrug 57', Eren Dinkçi 82'.

Did Moneyball predict Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Under 3.25, was right: 2-0 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Niclas Füllkrug, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim?

T. Reichel.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.