MoneyballDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball

Viking 4-1 Sabah: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Viking 4-1 Sabah

Viking beat Sabah 4-1 in Champions League Matchday 4 on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at SR-Bank Arena. The goals: Orphé Mbina 11', Erik Botheim 27', Zlatko Tripic 69', Henrik Falchener 81', Erik Botheim 90+4'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Viking won it

Orphé Mbina put Sabah ahead in the 11th minute, set up by Umarali Rakhmonaliev. Viking levelled at 1-1 in the 27th minute through Erik Botheim, set up by Kristoffer Haugen. Viking turned it round: Zlatko Tripic made it 2-1 in the 69th minute. Henrik Falchener made it 3-1 to Viking in the 81st minute, set up by Zlatko Tripic. Erik Botheim made it 4-1 to Viking in the 90th minute (+4), set up by Peter Christiansen.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Erik Botheim scored twice.

The lead changed hands once.

Aden McCarthy of Sabah was sent off in the 77th minute. The referee, S. van der Eijk, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Viking and 2 to Sabah. Zlatko Tripic missed a penalty for Viking in the 69 minute.

Viking: B. Lunde Aarsheim, 4-2-3-1 · Sabah: V. Dambrauskas, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Viking Win, and 4-1 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a Viking win at 60%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-1 (10%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.4 goals and there were 5.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 66%; with 5 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 63%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Viking win at 63%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-03, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Viking had 8 shots on target, Sabah 4.

Viking had 51% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Viking came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 2.3 and conceding 2.5 a match, with 1.36 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Sabah came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.5 a match, with 1.06 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Viking vs Sabah: the match in numbers

VikingMatch statisticsSabah
51%Ball possession49%
21Total shots16
8Shots on target4
4Big chances1
457Total passes462
81%Pass accuracy80%
10Corners6
5Fouls9
4Offsides3
17Tackles9
3Saves4
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Zlatko Tripic (Viking), rated 8.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Viking

Sabah

The lowest-rated starter was Akim Zedadka at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Viking vs Sabah

What was the score in Viking vs Sabah?

Viking 4-1 Sabah (half-time 1-1), Champions League, Wednesday 4 November 2026.

Who scored in Viking vs Sabah?

Orphé Mbina 11', Erik Botheim 27', Zlatko Tripic 69', Henrik Falchener 81', Erik Botheim 90+4'.

Did Moneyball predict Viking vs Sabah correctly?

A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Viking Win, and 4-1 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Viking vs Sabah?

Zlatko Tripic, rated 8.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Viking vs Sabah?

S. van der Eijk.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Match Live All match reports

Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.