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VfB Stuttgart 1-0 Werder Bremen: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: VfB Stuttgart 1-0 Werder Bremen

VfB Stuttgart 1-0 Werder Bremen: VfB Stuttgart took the points in Bundesliga Matchday 9 on Saturday 7 November 2026 at MHPArena. The goals: Maximilian Mittelstädt 7'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How VfB Stuttgart won it

Maximilian Mittelstädt put VfB Stuttgart ahead in the 7th minute, set up by Grischa Prömel.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, S. Storks, showed 3 yellow cards: 0 to VfB Stuttgart and 3 to Werder Bremen.

VfB Stuttgart: S. Hoeneß, 3-4-2-1 · Werder Bremen: D. Thioune, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Under 3.50, was right: 1-0 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a VfB Stuttgart win at 45%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (9%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.6 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 68%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 70%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.55 for VfB Stuttgart and 0.79 for Werder Bremen.

VfB Stuttgart had 5 shots on target, Werder Bremen 5.

VfB Stuttgart's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Werder Bremen had 57% of the ball, but VfB Stuttgart took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

VfB Stuttgart came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.93 expected goals for and 1.99 against, and had won 44% of their matches.

Werder Bremen came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.63 expected goals for and 1.50 against, and had won 44% of their matches.

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: the match in numbers

VfB StuttgartMatch statisticsWerder Bremen
43%Ball possession57%
1.55Expected goals (xG)0.79
13Total shots23
5Shots on target5
0Big chances1
451Total passes600
80%Pass accuracy84%
4Corners4
6Fouls8
0Offsides2
14Tackles15
5Saves4
0Yellow cards3

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Maximilian Mittelstädt (VfB Stuttgart), rated 8.6 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

VfB Stuttgart

Werder Bremen

The lowest-rated starter was Arthur at 6.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen

What was the score in VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

VfB Stuttgart 1-0 Werder Bremen (half-time 1-0), Bundesliga, Saturday 7 November 2026.

Who scored in VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

Maximilian Mittelstädt 7'.

Did Moneyball predict VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Under 3.50, was right: 1-0 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

Maximilian Mittelstädt, rated 8.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

S. Storks.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.