VfB Stuttgart 2-3 Borussia Mönchengladbach: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Bundesliga Matchday 7 · Friday 23 October 2026 · MHPArena, Stuttgart · referee M. Jöllenbeck · full time
Full time: VfB Stuttgart 2-3 Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart 2-3 Borussia Mönchengladbach: Borussia Mönchengladbach took the points in Bundesliga Matchday 7 on Friday 23 October 2026 at MHPArena. The goals: Ermedin Demirovic 5', Joe Scally 38', Shuto Machino 51', Wael Mohya 66', Ermedin Demirovic 83'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Borussia Mönchengladbach won it
The opening goal came in the 5th minute: Ermedin Demirovic for VfB Stuttgart, set up by Dženan Pejčinović. Borussia Mönchengladbach levelled at 1-1 in the 38th minute through Joe Scally, set up by Zento Uno. Borussia Mönchengladbach turned it round: Shuto Machino made it 1-2 in the 51st minute, set up by Wael Mohya. Wael Mohya made it 1-3 to Borussia Mönchengladbach in the 66th minute, set up by Joe Scally. Ermedin Demirovic made it 2-3 to VfB Stuttgart in the 83rd minute, set up by Jamie Leweling.
It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Ermedin Demirovic scored twice.
The lead changed hands once.
The referee, M. Jöllenbeck, showed 6 yellow cards: 2 to VfB Stuttgart and 4 to Borussia Mönchengladbach.
VfB Stuttgart: S. Hoeneß, 4-2-3-1 · Borussia Mönchengladbach: A. Blessin, 3-4-2-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Over 3.75, was right: 2-3 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a VfB Stuttgart win at 63%; a Borussia Mönchengladbach win, at 20%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-1 (8%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 4.4 expected, 5 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 78%; with 5 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 75%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-23, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 2.69 for VfB Stuttgart and 2.15 for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
VfB Stuttgart had 5 shots on target, Borussia Mönchengladbach 6.
VfB Stuttgart had 70% of the ball, but Borussia Mönchengladbach took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
VfB Stuttgart came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.93 expected goals for and 1.99 against, and had won 44% of their matches.
Borussia Mönchengladbach came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.8 a match, with 1.65 expected goals for and 2.34 against, and had won 11% of their matches.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: the match in numbers
| VfB Stuttgart | Match statistics | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|---|---|---|
| 70% | Ball possession | 30% |
| 2.69 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.15 |
| 15 | Total shots | 16 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 2 | Big chances | 4 |
| 691 | Total passes | 288 |
| 85% | Pass accuracy | 66% |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Tackles | 11 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Wael Mohya (Borussia Mönchengladbach), rated 8.7 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.
VfB Stuttgart
- Ermedin Demirovic 8.1 2 goals
- Chris Führich 7.5
- Maximilian Mittelstädt 7.3
- Ramon Hendriks 7.2
- Jamie Leweling 7.1 1 assist
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Wael Mohya 8.7 1 goal, 1 assist
- Joe Scally 7.8 1 goal, 1 assist
- Shuto Machino 7.3 1 goal
- Florian Neuhaus 7.2
- Fabio Chiarodia 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Moritz Nicolas at 5.7. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- VfB Stuttgart: Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
- Borussia Mönchengladbach: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
What was the score in VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
VfB Stuttgart 2-3 Borussia Mönchengladbach (half-time 1-1), Bundesliga, Friday 23 October 2026.
Who scored in VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Ermedin Demirovic 5', Joe Scally 38', Shuto Machino 51', Wael Mohya 66', Ermedin Demirovic 83'.
Did Moneyball predict VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach correctly?
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Over 3.75, was right: 2-3 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Wael Mohya, rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
M. Jöllenbeck.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.