Venezia 1-0 Napoli: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Serie A Matchday 7 · Saturday 17 October 2026 · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venezia · referee J. Sacchi · full time
Full time: Venezia 1-0 Napoli
Venezia won 1-0 at home to Napoli in Serie A Matchday 7 on Saturday 17 October 2026. The goals: Akor Adams 49'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Venezia won it
The opening goal came in the 49th minute: Akor Adams for Venezia, set up by Simon Sohm.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, J. Sacchi, showed 2 yellow cards: 2 to Venezia and 0 to Napoli. Kevin De Bruyne missed a penalty for Napoli in the 68 minute.
Venezia: D. Nicola, 3-5-2 · Napoli: M. Allegri, 3-4-2-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Venezia +0.75, and on 1-0 it was right.
The estimate's most likely result was a Napoli win at 49%; a Venezia win, at 26%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.9 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 56%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 58%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Napoli win at 55%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 2.42 for Venezia and 1.05 for Napoli.
Venezia scored about 1.4 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.
Napoli left about 1.1 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Napoli to create more, and Venezia did.
Venezia had 4 shots on target, Napoli 10.
Venezia's goalkeeper made 9 saves.
Napoli had 71% of the ball, but Venezia took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Venezia came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.43 expected goals for and 1.87 against, and had won 18% of their matches.
Napoli came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.79 expected goals for and 1.39 against, and had won 36% of their matches.
Venezia vs Napoli: the match in numbers
| Venezia | Match statistics | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| 29% | Ball possession | 71% |
| 2.42 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.05 |
| 9 | Total shots | 29 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 10 |
| 1 | Big chances | 4 |
| 312 | Total passes | 733 |
| 75% | Pass accuracy | 90% |
| 0 | Corners | 12 |
| 7 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Offsides | 5 |
| 13 | Tackles | 11 |
| 9 | Saves | 3 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Filip Stanković (Venezia), rated 9.6 by Sportmonks.
Venezia
- Filip Stanković 9.6
- Akor Adams 7.9 1 goal
- Juan Jesus 7.3
- Simon Sohm 7.3 1 assist
- Redouane Halhal 7.1
Napoli
- Alisson Santos 7.6
- Scott McTominay 7.5
- Benoît Badiashile 7.3
- Rasmus Højlund 7.2
- Giovanni Di Lorenzo 7.2
The lowest-rated starter was Lorenzo Lucca at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Venezia: Juventus vs Venezia Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A
- Napoli: Napoli vs Torino Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Venezia vs Napoli
What was the score in Venezia vs Napoli?
Venezia 1-0 Napoli (half-time 0-0), Serie A, Saturday 17 October 2026.
Who scored in Venezia vs Napoli?
Akor Adams 49'.
Did Moneyball predict Venezia vs Napoli correctly?
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Venezia +0.75, and on 1-0 it was right.
Who was man of the match in Venezia vs Napoli?
Filip Stanković, rated 9.6 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Venezia vs Napoli?
J. Sacchi.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.