Vasco da Gama 1-4 Flamengo: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Flamengo won it

Flamengo struck first through Pedro in the 10th minute, set up by Guillermo Varela. Vasco da Gama levelled at 1-1 in the 15th minute through Alan Lescano, set up by Brenner. Pedro made it 1-2 to Flamengo in the 41st minute. Samuel Lino made it 1-3 to Flamengo in the 53rd minute. Samuel Lino made it 1-4 to Flamengo in the 85th minute.

It was 1-2 at half-time.

Pedro scored twice.

Samuel Lino scored twice.

The referee, B. Arleu de Araujo, showed 2 yellow cards: 0 to Vasco da Gama and 2 to Flamengo.

Vasco da Gama: P. dos Santos Martins Silva, 4-1-4-1 · Flamengo: J. Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A Flamengo win was the estimate's call at 46%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-2 was the likeliest, 1-4 the real one.

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.7 goals and there were 5.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 52%; with 5 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 55%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-29, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.73 for Vasco da Gama and 1.31 for Flamengo.

Flamengo made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 2.7 goals.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Flamengo to create more, and Vasco da Gama did.

Vasco da Gama had 2 shots on target, Flamengo 6.

Vasco da Gama had 56% of the ball, but Flamengo took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Vasco da Gama came into it with 33 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.70 expected goals for and 1.03 against, and had won 33% of their matches.

Flamengo came into it with 34 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 2.1 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.78 expected goals for and 0.95 against, and had won 68% of their matches.

Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Samuel Lino (Flamengo), rated 8.7 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Vasco da Gama

• Jair 7.5
• Alan Lescano 7.3 1 goal
• Brenner 7.3 1 assist
• Gabriel Pereira 6.8
• David 6.7

Flamengo

• Samuel Lino 8.7 2 goals
• Pedro 8.2 2 goals
• Léo Ortiz 7.4
• Guillermo Varela 7.4 1 assist
• Emerson Royal 7.0

The lowest-rated starter was Léo Jardim at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Vasco da Gama: Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama Saturday 14 November 2026 · Brasileirão
• Flamengo: Flamengo vs Athletico PR Wednesday 18 November 2026 · Brasileirão

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo

What was the score in Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo?

Vasco da Gama 1-4 Flamengo (half-time 1-2), Brasileirão, Thursday 29 October 2026.

Who scored in Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo?

Pedro 10', Alan Lescano 15', Pedro 41', Samuel Lino 53', Samuel Lino 85'.

Did Moneyball predict Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo correctly?

A Flamengo win was the estimate's call at 46%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-2 was the likeliest, 1-4 the real one.

Who was man of the match in Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo?

Samuel Lino, rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo?

B. Arleu de Araujo.