FC Union Berlin 1-0 Elversberg: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How FC Union Berlin won it

The opening goal came in the 81st minute: Livan Burcu for FC Union Berlin.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, T. Reichel, showed 3 yellow cards: 2 to FC Union Berlin and 1 to Elversberg.

FC Union Berlin: M. Lustrinelli, 4-2-3-1 · Elversberg: V. Wagner, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to an Elversberg win at 52% and gave a FC Union Berlin win 28%; the match went the other way.

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 4.0 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 76%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 74%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a FC Union Berlin win at 41%, a different lean from Moneyball's.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.25 for FC Union Berlin and 1.59 for Elversberg.

Elversberg left about 1.6 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Elversberg created the better chances, 1.59 xG to 0.25, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

FC Union Berlin had 6 shots on target, Elversberg 2.

Elversberg's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Elversberg had 57% of the ball, but FC Union Berlin took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

FC Union Berlin came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.12 expected goals for and 1.93 against, and had won 11% of their matches.

Elversberg came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.59 expected goals for and 2.23 against, and had won 44% of their matches.

FC Union Berlin vs Elversberg: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Zeno Van Den Bosch (FC Union Berlin), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

FC Union Berlin

• Zeno Van Den Bosch 7.6
• Felix Uduokhai 7.5
• Livan Burcu 7.3 1 goal
• Frederik Rönnow 7.3
• András Schäfer 7.3

Elversberg

• Lukas Pinckert 7.4
• Maximilian Rohr 7.4
• Nicolas Kristof 7.3
• Lukasz Poreba 7.0
• Luca Sirch 6.9

The lowest-rated starter was Tim Skarke at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• FC Union Berlin: FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
• Elversberg: Elversberg vs SC Freiburg Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about FC Union Berlin vs Elversberg

What was the score in FC Union Berlin vs Elversberg?

FC Union Berlin 1-0 Elversberg (half-time 0-0), Bundesliga, Saturday 10 October 2026.

Who scored in FC Union Berlin vs Elversberg?

Livan Burcu 81'.

Did Moneyball predict FC Union Berlin vs Elversberg correctly?

The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to an Elversberg win at 52% and gave a FC Union Berlin win 28%; the match went the other way.

Who was man of the match in FC Union Berlin vs Elversberg?

Zeno Van Den Bosch, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed FC Union Berlin vs Elversberg?

T. Reichel.