MoneyballDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball

FC Union Berlin 0-0 Borussia Dortmund: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: FC Union Berlin 0-0 Borussia Dortmund

FC Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund drew 0-0 in Bundesliga Matchday 6 on Saturday 17 October 2026 at Stadion An der Alten Försterei. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How the match unfolded

No goals at Stadion An der Alten Försterei: FC Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund cancelled each other out over ninety minutes.

The referee, D. Schlager, showed 6 yellow cards: 3 to FC Union Berlin and 3 to Borussia Dortmund.

FC Union Berlin: M. Lustrinelli, 4-2-3-1 · Borussia Dortmund: N. Kovač, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Under 3.25, was right: 0-0 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a Borussia Dortmund win at 58%; a draw, at 23%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.0 and the match produced none.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 58%; with 0 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 57%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Borussia Dortmund win at 57%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.07 for FC Union Berlin and 0.90 for Borussia Dortmund.

FC Union Berlin scored about 1.1 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

FC Union Berlin had 0 shots on target, Borussia Dortmund 2.

Borussia Dortmund had 62% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

FC Union Berlin came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.12 expected goals for and 1.93 against, and had won 11% of their matches.

Borussia Dortmund came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.55 expected goals for and 1.23 against, and had won 67% of their matches.

FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: the match in numbers

FC Union BerlinMatch statisticsBorussia Dortmund
38%Ball possession62%
1.07Expected goals (xG)0.90
11Total shots10
0Shots on target2
1Big chances2
344Total passes572
72%Pass accuracy87%
5Corners5
13Fouls13
0Offsides1
18Tackles14
2Saves0
3Yellow cards3

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Waldemar Anton (Borussia Dortmund), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

FC Union Berlin

Borussia Dortmund

The lowest-rated starter was Maximilian Beier at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund

What was the score in FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?

FC Union Berlin 0-0 Borussia Dortmund (half-time 0-0), Bundesliga, Saturday 17 October 2026.

Who scored in FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?

Nobody: the match finished 0-0.

Did Moneyball predict FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Under 3.25, was right: 0-0 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?

Waldemar Anton, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?

D. Schlager.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Match Live All match reports

Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.