MoneyballDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball

TSG Hoffenheim 3-0 Olympique Lyonnais: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: TSG Hoffenheim 3-0 Olympique Lyonnais

TSG Hoffenheim beat Olympique Lyonnais 3-0 in Europa League Matchday 3 on Thursday 22 October 2026 at SNP Arena. The goals: Andrej Kramaric 45+4', Adam Daghim 49', Adam Hlozek 83'.

How TSG Hoffenheim won it

Andrej Kramaric put TSG Hoffenheim ahead in the 45th minute (+4). Adam Daghim made it 2-0 to TSG Hoffenheim in the 49th minute, set up by Andrej Kramaric. Adam Hlozek made it 3-0 to TSG Hoffenheim in the 83rd minute, set up by Andrej Kramaric.

It was 1-0 at half-time.

The referee, H. Meler, showed 5 yellow cards: 4 to TSG Hoffenheim and 1 to Olympique Lyonnais.

TSG Hoffenheim: C. Ilzer, 4-4-2 · Olympique Lyonnais: P. Rodrigues Fonseca, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.00. On 3-0 it landed exactly on the line: neither right nor wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a TSG Hoffenheim win at 46%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 62%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 64%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a TSG Hoffenheim win at 44%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-22, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

TSG Hoffenheim had 8 shots on target, Olympique Lyonnais 2.

Olympique Lyonnais's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Olympique Lyonnais had 57% of the ball, but TSG Hoffenheim took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

TSG Hoffenheim came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.63 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Olympique Lyonnais came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.47 expected goals for and – against, and had won 50% of their matches.

TSG Hoffenheim vs Olympique Lyonnais: the match in numbers

TSG HoffenheimMatch statisticsOlympique Lyonnais
43%Ball possession57%
21Total shots8
8Shots on target2
3Big chances1
381Total passes514
83%Pass accuracy82%
11Corners9
20Fouls6
2Offsides1
19Tackles12
2Saves5
3Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Andrej Kramaric (TSG Hoffenheim), rated 10.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 2 assists.

TSG Hoffenheim

Olympique Lyonnais

The lowest-rated starter was Ruben Kluivert at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about TSG Hoffenheim vs Olympique Lyonnais

What was the score in TSG Hoffenheim vs Olympique Lyonnais?

TSG Hoffenheim 3-0 Olympique Lyonnais (half-time 1-0), Europa League, Thursday 22 October 2026.

Who scored in TSG Hoffenheim vs Olympique Lyonnais?

Andrej Kramaric 45+4', Adam Daghim 49', Adam Hlozek 83'.

Did Moneyball predict TSG Hoffenheim vs Olympique Lyonnais correctly?

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.00. On 3-0 it landed exactly on the line: neither right nor wrong.

Who was man of the match in TSG Hoffenheim vs Olympique Lyonnais?

Andrej Kramaric, rated 10.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed TSG Hoffenheim vs Olympique Lyonnais?

H. Meler.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Match Live All match reports

Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.