Toulouse 0-0 Troyes: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Ligue 1 Matchday 8 · Sunday 25 October 2026 · Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse · referee G. Kubler · full time
Full time: Toulouse 0-0 Troyes
Toulouse and Troyes drew 0-0 in Ligue 1 Matchday 8 on Sunday 25 October 2026 at Stadium de Toulouse. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How the match unfolded
Neither side found a way through. Toulouse and Troyes shared a goalless draw, and the ninety minutes were decided by the defences and the goalkeepers rather than the forwards.
The referee, G. Kubler, showed 10 yellow cards: 8 to Toulouse and 2 to Troyes.
Toulouse: J. Askou, 4-4-2 · Troyes: S. Dumont, 4-3-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Toulouse Win, and on 0-0 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a Toulouse win at 54%; a draw, at 24%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.9 and the match produced none.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 54%; with 0 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 55%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Toulouse win at 56%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-25, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.55 for Toulouse and 0.83 for Troyes.
Toulouse had 3 shots on target, Troyes 0.
Toulouse had 63% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Toulouse came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.66 expected goals for and 1.44 against, and had won 30% of their matches.
Troyes came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.23 expected goals for and 1.46 against, and had won 20% of their matches.
Toulouse vs Troyes: the match in numbers
| Toulouse | Match statistics | Troyes |
|---|---|---|
| 63% | Ball possession | 37% |
| 0.55 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.83 |
| 7 | Total shots | 8 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 1 | Big chances | 0 |
| 597 | Total passes | 344 |
| 89% | Pass accuracy | 80% |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 9 | Tackles | 23 |
| 0 | Saves | 3 |
| 7 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Adrien Monfray (Troyes), rated 7.4 by Sportmonks.
Toulouse
- Rasmus Nicolaisen 7.4
- Mark McKenzie 7.3
- Aron Dønnum 7.2
- Cristian Cásseres Jr. 7.2
- Niko Sigur 6.8
Troyes
- Adrien Monfray 7.4
- Karim Dermane 7.2
- Mouhamed Diop 7.1
- Hillel Konaté 7.1
- Lucas Maronnier 7.1
The lowest-rated starter was Rafik Messali at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Toulouse: Lens vs Toulouse Saturday 21 November 2026 · Ligue 1
- Troyes: Troyes vs Le Havre Friday 20 November 2026 · Ligue 1
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Toulouse vs Troyes
What was the score in Toulouse vs Troyes?
Toulouse 0-0 Troyes (half-time 0-0), Ligue 1, Sunday 25 October 2026.
Who scored in Toulouse vs Troyes?
Nobody: the match finished 0-0.
Did Moneyball predict Toulouse vs Troyes correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Toulouse Win, and on 0-0 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Toulouse vs Troyes?
Adrien Monfray, rated 7.4 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Toulouse vs Troyes?
G. Kubler.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.