Torino 3-2 Monza: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Torino won it

The opening goal came in the 39th minute: Kian Fitz-Jim for Torino, set up by Giovanni Simeone. Monza levelled at 1-1 in the 47th minute through Gustavo Varela. Rafik Belghali made it 2-1 to Torino in the 61st minute, set up by Gvidas Gineitis. Nikola Vlašić made it 3-1 to Torino in the 72nd minute. An own goal by Nathan Patterson made it 3-2 to Monza in the 90th minute (+4).

It was 1-0 at half-time.

The referee, A. Zanotti, showed 1 yellow card: 1 to Torino and 0 to Monza.

Torino: I. Abate, 3-1-4-2 · Monza: I. Juric, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Over 2.25, was right: 3-2 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a Torino win at 37%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.6 goals and there were 5.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 47%; with 5 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 53%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-23, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.38 for Torino and 1.39 for Monza.

Torino scored about 2.6 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Monza created the better chances, 1.39 xG to 0.38, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Torino to create more, and Monza did.

Torino had 7 shots on target, Monza 3.

Torino had 51% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Torino came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.09 expected goals for and 1.54 against, and had won 36% of their matches.

Monza came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.51 expected goals for and 1.55 against, and had won 18% of their matches.

Torino vs Monza: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Giovanni Simeone (Torino), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

Torino

• Giovanni Simeone 7.8 1 assist
• Nikola Vlašić 7.5 1 goal
• Rafik Belghali 7.4 1 goal
• Kian Fitz-Jim 7.4 1 goal
• Ché Adams 7.3

Monza

• Gustavo Varela 7.1 1 goal
• Ebenezer Akinsanmiro 6.8
• Dany Mota 6.8
• Cyril Ngonge 6.7
• Lorenzo Lucchesi 6.7

The lowest-rated starter was Foe Ondoa at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Torino: Napoli vs Torino Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A
• Monza: Monza vs Fiorentina Monday 23 November 2026 · Serie A

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Torino vs Monza

What was the score in Torino vs Monza?

Torino 3-2 Monza (half-time 1-0), Serie A, Friday 23 October 2026.

Who scored in Torino vs Monza?

Kian Fitz-Jim 39', Gustavo Varela 47', Rafik Belghali 61', Nikola Vlašić 72'.

Did Moneyball predict Torino vs Monza correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Over 2.25, was right: 3-2 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Torino vs Monza?

Giovanni Simeone, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Torino vs Monza?

A. Zanotti.