Telstar 4-2 FC Utrecht: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Eredivisie Matchday 11 · Sunday 1 November 2026 · BUKO Stadion, Velsen · referee R. Martens · full time
Full time: Telstar 4-2 FC Utrecht
Telstar won 4-2 at home to FC Utrecht in Eredivisie Matchday 11 on Sunday 1 November 2026. The goals: Tyrone Owusu 8', Abdelnour Soualhia 25', Ángel Alarcón 42', Nökkvi Thórisson 44', Yoann Cathline 46', Ar'jany Martha 59'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Telstar won it
Telstar struck first through Tyrone Owusu in the 8th minute. Abdelnour Soualhia made it 2-0 to Telstar in the 25th minute, set up by Ar'jany Martha. Ángel Alarcón made it 2-1 to FC Utrecht in the 42nd minute, set up by Marius Broholm. Nökkvi Thórisson made it 3-1 to Telstar in the 44th minute, set up by Tyrone Owusu. Yoann Cathline made it 3-2 to FC Utrecht in the 46th minute, set up by Joris van Overeem. Ar'jany Martha made it 4-2 to Telstar in the 59th minute, set up by Nökkvi Thórisson.
It was 3-1 at half-time.
The referee, R. Martens, showed 2 yellow cards: 0 to Telstar and 2 to FC Utrecht.
Telstar: H. Brugge, 4-2-3-1 · FC Utrecht: A. Correia, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.00, and on 4-2 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a FC Utrecht win at 38%; a Telstar win, at 38%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (10%).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.4 goals and there were 6.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 65%; with 6 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 67%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a FC Utrecht win at 39%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.18 for Telstar and 2.09 for FC Utrecht.
Telstar scored about 2.8 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
FC Utrecht created the better chances, 2.09 xG to 1.18, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
Telstar had 7 shots on target, FC Utrecht 5.
FC Utrecht had 65% of the ball, but Telstar took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Telstar came into it with 12 Eredivisie matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.1 a match, with 1.38 expected goals for and 2.07 against, and had won 17% of their matches.
FC Utrecht came into it with 12 Eredivisie matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.8 a match, with 1.46 expected goals for and 1.84 against, and had won 25% of their matches.
Telstar vs FC Utrecht: the match in numbers
| Telstar | Match statistics | FC Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| 35% | Ball possession | 65% |
| 1.18 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.09 |
| 16 | Total shots | 15 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 5 | Big chances | 1 |
| 301 | Total passes | 538 |
| 75% | Pass accuracy | 83% |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Offsides | 2 |
| 19 | Tackles | 14 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Tyrone Owusu (Telstar), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.
Telstar
- Tyrone Owusu 8.3 1 goal, 1 assist
- Ar'jany Martha 8.3 1 goal, 1 assist
- Nökkvi Thórisson 8.2 1 goal, 1 assist
- Abdelnour Soualhia 7.7 1 goal
- Ronald Koeman Jr. 6.9
FC Utrecht
- Ángel Alarcón 7.7 1 goal
- Marius Broholm 7.5 1 assist
- Joris van Overeem 7.4 1 assist
- Yoann Cathline 7.2 1 goal
- Oualid Agougil 6.7
The lowest-rated starter was Arthur Zagré at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Telstar: Telstar vs PEC Zwolle Saturday 21 November 2026 · Eredivisie
- FC Utrecht: FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur Saturday 21 November 2026 · Eredivisie
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Telstar vs FC Utrecht
What was the score in Telstar vs FC Utrecht?
Telstar 4-2 FC Utrecht (half-time 3-1), Eredivisie, Sunday 1 November 2026.
Who scored in Telstar vs FC Utrecht?
Tyrone Owusu 8', Abdelnour Soualhia 25', Ángel Alarcón 42', Nökkvi Thórisson 44', Yoann Cathline 46', Ar'jany Martha 59'.
Did Moneyball predict Telstar vs FC Utrecht correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.00, and on 4-2 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Telstar vs FC Utrecht?
Tyrone Owusu, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Telstar vs FC Utrecht?
R. Martens.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.