Sturm Graz 1-0 Olympique Marseille: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Sturm Graz won it

Sturm Graz struck first through Oumar Diakité in the 13th minute, set up by Luca Weinhandl.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, N. Minaković, showed 6 yellow cards: 3 to Sturm Graz and 3 to Olympique Marseille.

Sturm Graz: F. Ingolitsch, 3-4-1-2 · Olympique Marseille: B. Génésio, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Marseille -0.25, and on 1-0 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was an Olympique Marseille win at 41%; a Sturm Graz win, at 33%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.9 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 56%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 60%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an Olympique Marseille win at 42%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-22, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Sturm Graz had 5 shots on target, Olympique Marseille 1.

Olympique Marseille had 72% of the ball, but Sturm Graz took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Sturm Graz came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.44 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Olympique Marseille came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 0.89 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Ulisses Garcia (Olympique Marseille), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Sturm Graz

• Luca Weinhandl 7.6 1 assist
• Paul Koller 7.3
• Valmir Matoshi 7.2
• Oumar Diakité 7.2 1 goal
• Arjan Malic 6.9

Olympique Marseille

• Ulisses Garcia 7.7
• Nayef Aguerd 7.2
• Keyliane Abdallah 7.2
• Jeffrey de Lange 7.1
• Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 7.1

The lowest-rated starter was Jacob Peter Hödl at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Sturm Graz: TSG Hoffenheim vs Sturm Graz Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa League
• Olympique Marseille: Olympique Marseille vs Le Mans Sunday 22 November 2026 · Ligue 1

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille

What was the score in Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille?

Sturm Graz 1-0 Olympique Marseille (half-time 1-0), Europa League, Thursday 22 October 2026.

Who scored in Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille?

Oumar Diakité 13'.

Did Moneyball predict Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Marseille -0.25, and on 1-0 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille?

Ulisses Garcia, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille?

N. Minaković.