Sturm Graz 2-3 Celje: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Celje won it

The opening goal came in the 29th minute: Svit Seslar for Celje. Sturm Graz levelled at 1-1 in the 40th minute through Oumar Diakité, set up by Paul Koller. Benjamin Verbic made it 1-2 to Celje in the 45th minute, set up by Milot Avdyli. Svit Seslar made it 1-3 to Celje in the 73rd minute, set up by Blaz Kramer. Oumar Diakité made it 2-3 to Sturm Graz in the 90th minute (+3), set up by Gizo Mamageishvili.

It was 1-2 at half-time.

Svit Seslar scored twice.

Oumar Diakité scored twice.

The referee, G. Kruashvili, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Sturm Graz and 2 to Celje.

Sturm Graz: F. Ingolitsch, 3-4-3 · Celje: Z. Željkovič, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Sturm Graz Win, and on 2-3 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Sturm Graz win at 60%; a Celje win, at 18%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (10%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.1 goals and there were 5.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 59%; with 5 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 57%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Sturm Graz win at 59%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Sturm Graz had 7 shots on target, Celje 7.

Celje's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Sturm Graz had 61% of the ball, but Celje took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Sturm Graz came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.44 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Celje came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.07 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Sturm Graz vs Celje: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Svit Seslar (Celje), rated 8.6 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Sturm Graz

• Oumar Diakité 8.3 2 goals
• Simon Seidl 7.6
• Luca Weinhandl 7.2
• Gizo Mamageishvili 7.1 1 assist
• Jon Gorenc Stankovic 6.9

Celje

• Svit Seslar 8.6 2 goals
• Benjamin Verbic 7.9 1 goal
• Zan-Luk Leban 7.3
• Artemijus Tutyškinas 7.1
• Zan Zuzek 7.0

The lowest-rated starter was Valmir Matoshi at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Sturm Graz: TSG Hoffenheim vs Sturm Graz Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa League
• Celje: Ferencvárosi vs Celje Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Sturm Graz vs Celje

What was the score in Sturm Graz vs Celje?

Sturm Graz 2-3 Celje (half-time 1-2), Europa League, Thursday 5 November 2026.

Who scored in Sturm Graz vs Celje?

Svit Seslar 29', Oumar Diakité 40', Benjamin Verbic 45', Svit Seslar 73', Oumar Diakité 90+3'.

Did Moneyball predict Sturm Graz vs Celje correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Sturm Graz Win, and on 2-3 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Sturm Graz vs Celje?

Svit Seslar, rated 8.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Sturm Graz vs Celje?

G. Kruashvili.